NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	4.0 [1002]		MVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): +11.5%
New Jersey Nets	104		Comeback	1.7 [461]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (NYK): -10.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	10	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
David Lee	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	20	60%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	19	57%	0.04	5	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Toney Douglas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	0.06	9	55%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.01	-0.02	15	62%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.03	16	58%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	44%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	12	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.03	15	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.02	-0.05	15	45%	0.05	5	-0.08	8	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	26.6	16.6	27.2	2.5	34.0	130.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +39.2%

NYK -1.7%

NYK -1.8%

NJN +7.8%

NJN +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	14.5	15.6	15.3	99.0	109.5	106.0
season	14.7	15.9		105.9	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.2	16.8	15.8	11.4	14.5
NJN	14.6	14.5	15.5	17.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toney Douglas	12	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-3	-3	15.3	14.4	0.92	18.3	15.2	3.09
Larry Hughes	29	29	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	0	-9	14.6	14.5	0.08	15.7	15.6	0.08
Danilo Gallinari	61	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-8	7	15.0	13.8	1.20	16.0	14.9	1.12
Al Harrington	72	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-6	3	13.4	18.0	-4.57	15.8	15.1	0.73
Wilson Chandler	71	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-3	-3	14.7	14.1	0.56	14.3	19.2	-4.90
Jonathan Bender	27	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	0	-9	15.6	14.1	1.48	15.1	15.8	-0.76
Jared Jeffries	44	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	14.8	14.3	0.45	16.8	14.6	2.18
David Lee	89	88	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-8	7	14.2	19.3	-5.13	15.8	13.6	2.22
Chris Duhon	75	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-4	-1	14.9	13.2	1.72	15.2	17.1	-1.88

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yi Jianlian	83	83	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.13	13	-4	17	15.4	17.3	-1.95	15.0	11.8	3.19
Chris Douglas-Roberts	71	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	1	7	16.6	12.8	3.80	15.1	12.8	2.29
Brook Lopez	81	82	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.23	5	4	1	15.6	15.9	-0.35	14.5	14.6	-0.05
Keyon Dooling	36	38	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	-2	13	16.6	15.1	1.53	14.6	14.5	0.04
Devin Harris	73	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	6	-3	15.4	16.4	-1.01	14.5	14.7	-0.29
Courtney Lee	72	73	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.30	-1	10	-11	15.3	16.8	-1.52	14.2	15.5	-1.25
Terrence Williams	23	24	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	3	3	16.9	15.2	1.69	15.2	14.3	0.85
Trenton Hassell	36	37	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	9	-9	13.9	16.7	-2.85	12.7	15.7	-2.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 107, DEN 121	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
LAL 102, DET 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
WAS 78, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%