inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 89 Excitement3.7 [1081] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +18.3%
San Antonio Spurs 117 Comeback1.7 [838] LVPCaron Butler (OKC): -4.7%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Russell Westbrook0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.01-0.001264%0.142-0.03978%0.01
Kevin Durant0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.01-0.012154%0.111-0.02425%-0.02
Nick Collison0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.00183%0.021-0.00475%0.01
Steven Adams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01475%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Perry Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.08617%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02633%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.011055%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00550%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.031030%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Caron Butler-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00322%-0.021-0.02367%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.190.030.03995%0.1800.002100%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.020.00774%0.131-0.025100%0.02
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.01-0.04772%0.132-0.03475%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.010.031367%0.132-0.05786%0.01
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.000.01590%0.0800.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02075%0.0200.00875%0.01
Jeff Ayres0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00267%0.0010.002100%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.06520%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.08-0.000.09970%0.021-0.032100%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.021346%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.0240%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.23.832.118.530.43.629.3146.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +33.4%
SAS +8.3%
SAS +7.9%
OKC -0.9%
SAS +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCSASNBAOKCSASNBA
this game14.716.015.194.7124.5105.2
season14.415.0107.8109.8
opponent15.015.4101.1102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.915.113.415.114.7
SAS14.514.218.716.816.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thabo Sefolosha15150.00-0.500.500.000-282814.114.8-0.6316.415.90.50
Perry Jones1818-0.00-0.500.490.17-6-221614.714.70.0115.216.2-0.94
Derek Fisher2930-0.07-0.430.360.08-5-231814.714.7-0.0115.616.2-0.61
Nick Collison2626-0.10-0.400.300.13-8-201215.214.50.7415.316.2-0.98
Kendrick Perkins3334-0.10-0.400.29-0.02-3-252213.915.0-1.1114.816.6-1.81
Jeremy Lamb3334-0.12-0.380.270.18-10-18814.115.0-0.8817.814.92.84
Caron Butler2524-0.15-0.350.210.38-18-10-815.414.41.0117.415.51.93
Serge Ibaka5455-0.25-0.25-0.000.04-10-18814.614.8-0.2415.916.0-0.08
Russell Westbrook6262-0.36-0.14-0.210.11-16-12-414.514.9-0.3315.417.1-1.69
Reggie Jackson6563-0.40-0.10-0.300.24-22-6-1614.814.30.5515.516.9-1.43
Steven Adams3836-0.44-0.06-0.380.15-20-8-1215.414.21.2317.015.41.61
Kevin Durant7273-0.510.01-0.520.13-22-6-1614.515.0-0.5016.215.40.77

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kawhi Leonard63640.460.040.43-0.182261616.015.90.1114.614.8-0.16
Tim Duncan60590.460.040.41-0.071810815.816.3-0.4514.914.20.69
Tony Parker59600.410.090.320.031315-215.516.9-1.4014.614.8-0.21
Boris Diaw56550.360.140.22-0.201991016.016.00.0114.714.7-0.01
Manu Ginobili43440.280.220.07-0.161513214.617.2-2.5814.115.1-0.98
Danny Green43430.170.33-0.15-0.241414016.015.90.1215.114.30.88
Patty Mills32290.160.34-0.18-0.311612417.215.31.8814.314.8-0.46
Matt Bonner34340.120.38-0.26-0.06622-1615.616.2-0.6615.214.30.90
Tiago Splitter21220.100.40-0.30-0.371612416.415.90.5215.414.40.98
Marco Belinelli26250.030.47-0.44-0.21820-1217.315.51.7814.914.60.35
Jeff Ayres12120.000.50-0.500.09-331-3417.415.81.6513.214.9-1.62
Aron Baynes670.000.50-0.50-0.03127-2617.715.91.8016.014.61.45
Cory Joseph1516-0.050.55-0.610.09-533-3816.016.00.0312.715.1-2.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 107, DEN 1210.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
NYK 95, NJN 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,196.0%
POR 88, LAL 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%