NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	3.3 [1111]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +8.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	1.0 [580]		LVP	Andre Miller (LAC): -7.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	-0.02	0.01	18	75%	0.14	4	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Robert Horry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	9	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy Murray	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	69%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.01
Brian Shaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kareem Rush	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Soumaila Samake	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	13	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	70%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	8	45%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	15	56%	-0.02	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	12	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	10	65%	-0.03	3	-0.04	14	79%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	29.2	15.8	32.1	2.5	24.5	133.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.0%

LAL +1.2%

LAL +8.4%

LAL +7.0%

LAC -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	16.6	14.6	15.5	116.1	101.1	101.6
season	15.4	15.4		105.0	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.3	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.7	15.5	17.2	20.4	16.6
LAC	16.8	15.2	11.0	15.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	61	61	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.34	32	-17	49	15.6	18.5	-2.91	15.7	12.3	3.43
Samaki Walker	74	72	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	7	1	17.3	13.8	3.41	13.4	18.8	-5.47
Kobe Bryant	78	78	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	8	-1	16.9	14.7	2.18	14.6	14.4	0.16
Derek Fisher	56	55	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.17	16	-1	17	16.9	16.0	0.93	14.1	15.3	-1.27
Brian Shaw	34	34	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	3	9	14.5	17.8	-3.29	14.5	14.6	-0.06
Devean George	54	53	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	10	-5	17.8	14.8	2.95	14.2	15.1	-0.84
Jannero Pargo	24	26	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	5	5	14.7	17.2	-2.44	16.5	13.8	2.64
Tracy Murray	27	25	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	16	-17	16.7	16.5	0.15	14.8	14.5	0.32
Soumaila Samake	14	14	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	16	-17	15.9	16.7	-0.74	16.4	14.2	2.11
Slava Medvedenko	37	37	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.28	-9	24	-33	17.1	16.2	0.82	14.3	14.7	-0.45
Kareem Rush	6	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	19	-23	16.0	16.6	-0.60	12.8	14.7	-1.87

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wang Zhi-zhi	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	21.0	14.5	6.51	32.0	16.4	15.61
Chris Wilcox	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-14	13	14.8	14.5	0.31	16.0	16.6	-0.64
Eric Piatkowski	21	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-6	-3	17.5	13.7	3.77	14.7	17.1	-2.40
Elton Brand	75	75	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-13	11	14.7	14.0	0.69	17.2	14.0	3.17
Keyon Dooling	20	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-4	-7	17.4	13.8	3.69	13.5	17.4	-3.90
Quentin Richardson	41	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-7	-1	14.6	14.5	0.08	15.6	17.3	-1.73
Marko Jaric	49	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-8	1	14.3	14.9	-0.64	17.4	15.6	1.78
Andre Miller	72	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-11	7	13.8	17.4	-3.69	17.4	13.5	3.90
Sean Rooks	25	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.09	-13	-2	-11	15.7	14.1	1.53	14.1	17.5	-3.40
Corey Maggette	73	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-9	3	13.9	17.1	-3.20	17.1	14.5	2.55
Michael Olowokandi	71	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	-3	-9	13.9	16.8	-2.91	16.7	16.1	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.24,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 122, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
SEA 105, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.0%
SAC 95, NJN 79	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%