NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	122		Excitement	2.7 [1218]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +11.0%
Washington Wizards	88		Comeback	1.3 [1179]		LVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): -11.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	-0.00	0.05	13	76%	0.12	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	61%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	12	61%	0.06	3	-0.03	12	100%	0.04
Leon Powe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	58%	0.03	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Glen Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	75%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	60%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.11	8	87%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	7	59%	-0.01	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	11	48%	0.00	5	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	12	61%	0.06	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	16	52%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	0	0%	0.00	4	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	61%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	7	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	12	61%	0.04	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	6	7%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	3.4	35.3	19.8	27.3	3.6	31.2	149.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +22.7%

BOS +6.3%

BOS +14.8%

BOS +7.6%

WAS -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	15.5	124.5	88.0	106.4
season	15.8	15.9		108.3	103.5
opponent	15.2	15.6		111.7	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.6	12.3	15.8	14.7	14.5
WAS	15.1	13.4	13.0	17.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	72	74	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.17	21	13	8	14.7	13.8	0.98	14.8	14.0	0.81
Ray Allen	67	66	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	25	-16	14.5	14.5	0.06	13.8	16.2	-2.39
Glen Davis	49	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.65	32	2	30	14.7	14.3	0.33	15.5	13.7	1.88
Eddie House	34	36	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.36	22	12	10	14.2	14.6	-0.39	15.7	14.0	1.67
Kevin Garnett	58	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	29	-24	13.6	15.8	-2.21	13.9	15.6	-1.71
Kendrick Perkins	52	52	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	28	-22	14.9	14.0	0.88	13.8	15.4	-1.57
Tony Allen	41	44	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.57	28	6	22	13.8	15.0	-1.18	15.4	13.9	1.49
Rajon Rondo	51	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	31	-28	14.6	14.4	0.25	13.9	15.4	-1.50
Leon Powe	24	26	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.30	16	18	-2	15.3	14.2	1.12	15.9	14.1	1.79
Brian Scalabrine	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.29	10	24	-14	15.0	14.4	0.61	14.7	14.6	0.10
Patrick O'Bryant	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	25	-16	14.7	14.5	0.23	14.5	14.6	-0.07
Gabe Pruitt	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	25	-16	14.7	14.5	0.23	14.5	14.6	-0.07

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javaris Crittenton	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-27	20	14.1	14.7	-0.57	15.3	14.4	0.88
Dominic McGuire	23	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.52	-19	-15	-4	17.3	13.8	3.46	14.7	14.4	0.25
Etan Thomas	16	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	-28	22	13.1	14.9	-1.76	10.5	15.3	-4.86
Mike James	22	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.11	-9	-25	16	14.5	14.6	-0.13	14.8	14.4	0.41
DeShawn Stevenson	46	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-34	34	14.2	14.9	-0.71	15.0	14.0	0.92
JaVale McGee	51	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.44	-22	-12	-10	16.0	13.1	2.86	15.2	13.7	1.51
Andray Blatche	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-26	18	12.4	15.8	-3.43	14.7	14.4	0.26
Darius Songaila	42	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.21	-15	-19	4	13.4	15.5	-2.10	13.9	14.9	-1.01
Nick Young	37	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.58	-29	-5	-24	16.6	13.4	3.17	14.0	14.7	-0.75
Juan Dixon	71	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	-16	-2	14.4	15.2	-0.85	14.7	14.1	0.55
Antawn Jamison	69	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.27	-21	-13	-8	15.2	13.2	1.99	14.3	14.9	-0.59
Caron Butler	77	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-18	2	13.9	16.9	-3.00	14.8	13.4	1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 92, NOK 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
CHI 96, WAS 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
SAC 114, DAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%