NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	96		Excitement	2.4 [1263]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (CHI): +10.1%
Washington Wizards	78		Comeback	1.0 [687]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -7.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.03	19	60%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.03	6	92%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	13	72%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	12	57%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jimmer Fredette	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tornike Shengelia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.15	0.00	-0.11	9	15%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	11	73%	0.11	4	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	17	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	62%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	9	11%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.03	16	41%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	27.9	14.8	22.2	2.5	25.5	117.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +29.7%

CHI +7.6%

CHI +10.2%

CHI +2.5%

WAS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	17.6	15.1	15.1	109.1	88.6	105.2
season	16.3	15.1		101.1	103.8
opponent	15.5	15.3		102.7	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.1	16.7	18.5	20.6	17.6
WAS	14.3	18.5	14.2	13.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	76	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.23	23	-5	28	17.7	17.6	0.07	15.4	12.8	2.60
Taj Gibson	48	48	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.46	31	-13	44	17.9	17.3	0.59	16.0	14.0	1.98
D.J. Augustin	53	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.29	23	-5	28	18.0	17.1	0.89	15.5	14.5	0.98
Mike Dunleavy	60	62	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	7	4	17.5	17.9	-0.41	15.0	15.2	-0.21
Carlos Boozer	46	47	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.19	1	17	-16	16.7	18.6	-1.90	14.3	16.0	-1.77
Joakim Noah	66	65	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	10	-2	19.0	13.6	5.35	15.0	15.4	-0.48
Kirk Hinrich	51	51	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	11	-4	18.2	16.9	1.30	15.2	14.9	0.32
Tony Snell	17	16	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	19	-20	16.1	18.0	-1.97	13.2	15.5	-2.31
Nazr Mohammed	12	12	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	17	-16	14.2	18.2	-4.03	17.2	14.7	2.42
Jimmer Fredette	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	27	-36	15.9	17.8	-1.95	12.1	15.3	-3.19
Tornike Shengelia	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	13.2	17.9	-4.61	9.7	15.3	-5.58

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter	16	16	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.29	10	-28	38	12.8	15.6	-2.77	13.7	18.5	-4.76
Chris Singleton	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-27	36	12.1	15.3	-3.19	15.9	17.8	-1.95
Garrett Temple	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-27	36	12.1	15.3	-3.19	15.9	17.8	-1.95
Kevin Seraphin	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-23	28	13.3	15.4	-2.02	19.1	17.4	1.68
Andre Miller	13	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.18	-11	-7	-4	18.6	14.5	4.15	17.7	17.6	0.10
Al Harrington	9	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-12	6	18.3	14.7	3.62	13.4	18.2	-4.79
Trevor Booker	50	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-16	14	14.9	15.3	-0.37	17.2	18.2	-1.00
Martell Webster	32	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.26	-19	1	-20	15.5	14.8	0.71	16.5	18.3	-1.75
Trevor Ariza	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-5	-8	15.2	14.9	0.23	18.7	16.1	2.59
Drew Gooden	38	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.18	-17	-1	-16	15.3	14.9	0.37	18.2	17.2	1.00
Marcin Gortat	67	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	-2	-14	15.0	15.5	-0.52	18.0	16.6	1.41
John Wall	68	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	-2	-14	14.7	16.3	-1.64	17.8	17.1	0.68
Bradley Beal	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.27	-23	5	-28	15.6	13.2	2.43	18.5	14.8	3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 92, NOK 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
NYK 128, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
SAS 124, VAN 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%