NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	95		Excitement	3.3 [1084]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +8.6%
New Jersey Nets	79		Comeback	1.0 [1029]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -10.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.09	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	23	60%	0.11	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	8	31%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	14	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	47%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	6	60%	0.02	3	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	69%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Soumaila Samake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	56%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	10	45%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	5	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	13	46%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	21	39%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	7	22%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	50%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.17	-0.00	-0.07	10	21%	-0.09	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	28.8	14.8	21.3	2.3	27.6	122.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +35.5%

SAC +10.2%

SAC +4.8%

NJN -0.5%

NJN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NJN	NBA	SAC	NJN	NBA
this game	16.1	16.2	15.5	106.7	88.8	100.9
season	14.4	15.5		103.1	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.2	12.7	18.9	21.0	16.1
NJN	16.1	18.0	13.9	16.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	78	78	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	1	14	16.5	13.9	2.55	16.5	14.3	2.21
Chris Webber	74	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	4	8	16.6	14.1	2.42	16.2	16.5	-0.29
Vlade Divac	52	54	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.05	14	2	12	14.8	18.1	-3.31	16.0	16.6	-0.64
Bobby Jackson	36	36	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	4	8	17.4	15.3	2.13	17.8	15.1	2.67
Jon Barry	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	7	2	16.7	15.7	0.99	17.2	15.3	1.91
Scot Pollard	44	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	9	-2	17.0	15.3	1.69	16.8	15.7	1.16
Hedo Turkoglu	62	61	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	10	-4	15.3	18.2	-2.93	15.1	18.5	-3.39
Jason Williams	53	53	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	12	-8	15.3	17.4	-2.13	15.1	17.8	-2.67
Darrick Martin	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	19.2	16.0	3.25	13.7	16.3	-2.64

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Soumaila Samake	16	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-17	18	16.1	16.2	-0.11	15.0	16.4	-1.42
Evan Eschmeyer	13	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-16	16	18.8	15.8	3.08	13.2	16.7	-3.50
Lucious Harris	49	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-19	22	15.0	17.7	-2.79	15.9	16.4	-0.55
Stephen Jackson	56	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-18	20	14.6	19.0	-4.48	15.9	16.6	-0.72
Sherman Douglas	28	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-9	2	17.9	15.5	2.40	16.3	16.1	0.28
Aaron Williams	56	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-8	0	16.1	16.4	-0.33	17.2	14.4	2.81
Vladimir Stepania	27	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-9	2	15.3	16.6	-1.37	17.7	15.4	2.29
Johnny Newman	24	24	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	-1	-14	19.8	14.9	4.90	15.3	16.4	-1.11
Kenyon Martin	66	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	2	-20	16.2	16.2	-0.01	15.5	18.0	-2.54
Kendall Gill	40	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	0	-16	17.5	15.1	2.38	17.4	15.1	2.31
Stephon Marbury	70	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	-1	-14	15.8	17.8	-2.00	16.0	16.6	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 105, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.7%
NYK 116, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
LAL 108, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.24,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.9%