NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	105		Excitement	3.4 [1068]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +8.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	93		Comeback	1.0 [254]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -12.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	17	60%	0.12	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.06
Brent Barry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Shammond Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	12	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.02	-0.06	10	50%	0.05	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	12	58%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.03	10	65%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	13	53%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	51%	-0.02	1	-0.02	15	80%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	0.07	16	50%	-0.07	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	27.3	15.6	25.3	1.6	31.2	128.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +40.2%

SEA +4.8%

SEA +6.0%

POR -0.4%

POR -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	16.6	16.3	15.5	119.3	106.9	100.9
season	15.2	15.8		103.8	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.7		100.3	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.7	16.4	16.3	17.9	16.6
POR	17.0	18.8	16.5	13.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	68	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	5	2	16.2	17.8	-1.55	16.0	17.3	-1.35
Ruben Patterson	37	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	0	12	16.7	16.5	0.13	16.3	16.3	0.06
Brent Barry	50	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	5	2	16.7	16.5	0.18	15.6	17.2	-1.62
Vin Baker	53	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	5	2	16.5	16.7	-0.19	15.6	17.3	-1.70
Gary Payton	68	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	8	-4	16.8	15.9	0.84	16.5	15.8	0.67
Shammond Williams	35	33	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	4	4	16.7	16.5	0.19	14.9	17.1	-2.21
Patrick Ewing	35	36	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	7	-2	16.7	16.5	0.19	17.3	15.6	1.70
Emanual Davis	38	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	7	-2	16.5	16.7	-0.18	17.2	15.6	1.62
Jelani McCoy	44	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	10	-8	16.5	16.7	-0.30	17.1	15.6	1.50
Desmond Mason	12	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.00	3	9	-6	17.5	16.5	1.04	18.1	16.0	2.08

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	12	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-6	0	16.7	16.2	0.51	16.1	16.7	-0.58
Damon Stoudamire	66	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-15	18	16.0	17.4	-1.47	16.5	16.8	-0.23
Dale Davis	52	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-14	16	16.5	16.1	0.38	16.5	16.7	-0.15
Shawn Kemp	22	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	-2	-8	16.1	16.4	-0.29	15.2	17.0	-1.85
Bonzi Wells	35	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-5	-2	16.5	16.2	0.34	16.4	16.8	-0.39
Steven Smith	77	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-6	0	16.7	13.5	3.18	16.6	16.5	0.06
Greg Anthony	21	22	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	3	-18	17.4	16.0	1.47	16.8	16.5	0.23
Scottie Pippen	73	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-2	-8	15.7	19.6	-3.89	16.8	15.7	1.05
Rasheed Wallace	77	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	-1	-10	16.3	16.1	0.24	17.0	13.3	3.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 95, NJN 79	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
LAL 108, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.24,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.0%
NYK 116, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%