NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Excitement	2.8 [1170]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +9.5%
Sacramento Kings	122		Comeback	1.2 [1177]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -10.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Pack	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	8	71%	0.05	2	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	7	37%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Felipe Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.00	0.08	13	62%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	17	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.01	0.04	9	60%	-0.02	4	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	0.00	0.07	19	75%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	15	68%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Doug Christie	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	77%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	62%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	6	19%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	31.4	19.6	24.5	3.4	27.6	134.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +31.2%

SAC +9.2%

MIN -1.3%

SAC +11.0%

MIN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.7	14.6	15.6	102.0	127.1	102.3
season	15.0	14.2		106.7	106.6
opponent	15.5	16.1		99.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.0	16.6	15.1	14.2	14.7
SAC	14.7	12.8	15.6	15.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loren Woods	22	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-23	27	11.2	15.6	-4.46	14.3	14.6	-0.33
Felipe Lopez	31	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.27	8	-27	35	12.8	15.5	-2.65	15.1	14.3	0.74
Robert Pack	40	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-22	25	13.0	15.7	-2.69	14.8	14.4	0.36
Joe Smith	54	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-11	3	14.6	14.7	-0.09	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Sam Mitchell	11	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-13	7	12.2	15.0	-2.80	14.9	14.5	0.38
Gary Trent	31	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.17	-12	-7	-5	16.4	13.9	2.52	13.6	15.0	-1.40
Kevin Garnett	76	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-12	5	14.5	15.2	-0.70	14.8	13.9	0.85
Anthony Peeler	52	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-10	1	14.0	15.3	-1.31	14.0	15.2	-1.26
Rasho Nesterovic	62	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.11	-19	0	-19	15.7	13.1	2.60	14.7	14.4	0.32
Wally Szczerbiak	64	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.34	-27	8	-35	16.3	11.8	4.47	15.1	13.7	1.36
Chauncey Billups	62	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.17	-22	3	-25	15.5	13.3	2.22	14.4	14.8	-0.36

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	80	83	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.22	28	-9	37	14.7	13.7	0.98	16.0	8.4	7.58
Chris Webber	82	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.20	22	-3	25	14.6	14.6	-0.01	14.8	13.9	0.88
Vlade Divac	55	57	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.08	18	1	17	14.4	14.8	-0.38	15.9	13.0	2.88
Mike Bibby	58	61	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.03	13	6	7	14.5	14.6	-0.07	14.5	14.9	-0.38
Peja Stojakovic	61	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	7	5	14.8	14.1	0.71	14.3	15.4	-1.07
Bobby Jackson	32	34	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	12	-5	15.2	14.2	1.03	15.6	14.2	1.38
Hedo Turkoglu	42	46	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	16	-13	14.2	14.8	-0.58	13.8	15.4	-1.60
Scot Pollard	39	42	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	15	-11	15.0	14.3	0.74	14.7	14.6	0.11
Gerald Wallace	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	12.9	14.7	-1.85	8.8	15.3	-6.52
Chucky Brown	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	11.2	14.8	-3.62	11.0	14.9	-3.91
Lawrence Funderburke	10	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	15.8	14.4	1.38	10.2	15.3	-5.02
Mateen Cleaves	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	11.2	14.8	-3.62	11.0	14.9	-3.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, SAS 130	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
POR 89, CHI 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
TOR 103, POR 125	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%