NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	99		Excitement	2.8 [1230]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +16.1%
San Antonio Spurs	130		Comeback	1.1 [1250]		LVP	Josh Smith (HOU): -6.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	72%	0.08	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	7	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ty Lawson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Marcus Thornton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	6	14%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Terrence Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
James Harden	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.01	0.08	10	69%	0.04	5	-0.09	9	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	4	28%	-0.02	2	-0.04	10	30%	-0.04
Josh Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	11	42%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.19	0.01	0.04	9	100%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	12	69%	0.10	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	13	76%	0.11	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	13	56%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	45%	0.00	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	5	80%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	9	59%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	4	60%	0.04	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.6	3.6	35.3	17.2	28.1	2.8	29.2	147.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +40.0%

SAS +5.2%

HOU -4.9%

SAS +12.2%

HOU -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	13.3	14.8	14.9	95.2	128.7	105.1
season	14.0	15.7		105.9	109.0
opponent	14.7	15.1		97.9	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.9	13.8	12.6	14.0	13.3
SAS	14.3	15.0	14.0	16.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	44	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.26	-10	-21	11	13.6	13.0	0.59	15.6	14.3	1.28
Jason Terry	44	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.18	-8	-23	15	12.8	13.6	-0.79	15.0	14.7	0.39
Josh Smith	54	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.22	-10	-21	11	13.0	13.7	-0.70	14.9	14.7	0.26
Corey Brewer	32	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-26	21	12.3	13.7	-1.42	13.5	15.4	-1.89
Ty Lawson	56	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.21	-13	-18	5	12.6	14.2	-1.61	15.1	14.5	0.54
Dwight Howard	49	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.15	-12	-19	7	13.5	13.1	0.36	14.8	14.8	-0.01
Terrence Jones	35	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-20	9	14.1	12.9	1.27	16.1	14.2	1.91
Clint Capela	31	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.24	-18	-13	-5	12.7	13.5	-0.79	13.9	15.2	-1.37
Patrick Beverley	56	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.22	-22	-9	-13	14.1	12.4	1.68	14.6	15.0	-0.37
James Harden	60	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.23	-23	-8	-15	13.6	12.8	0.79	14.7	15.0	-0.39
Trevor Ariza	59	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.21	-23	-8	-15	13.5	13.0	0.45	14.6	15.1	-0.52

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	60	59	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.25	24	7	17	14.6	15.1	-0.55	13.8	12.6	1.23
LaMarcus Aldridge	60	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.31	23	8	15	14.9	14.8	0.11	14.3	11.8	2.58
Tony Parker	48	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	13	5	15.1	14.6	0.46	14.2	12.5	1.79
Danny Green	61	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	19	-7	14.9	14.6	0.28	12.6	14.4	-1.80
David West	34	34	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.09	14	17	-3	14.5	15.0	-0.49	11.9	14.0	-2.10
Manu Ginobili	44	44	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.30	19	12	7	13.5	15.8	-2.30	12.3	14.0	-1.70
Kyle Anderson	33	34	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.15	10	21	-11	13.9	15.2	-1.31	14.0	12.9	1.09
Patty Mills	36	36	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	25	-19	13.7	15.4	-1.71	11.6	14.2	-2.62
Boris Diaw	38	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.23	10	21	-11	14.7	14.9	-0.18	13.0	13.5	-0.49
Boban Marjanovic	34	35	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	28	-25	16.2	14.1	2.13	13.1	13.4	-0.23
Jonathon Simmons	23	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	29	-27	16.1	14.4	1.64	14.0	13.1	0.92
Rasual Butler	17	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.20	7	24	-17	16.5	14.5	1.98	14.1	13.1	0.99
Ray McCallum	17	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.20	7	24	-17	16.5	14.5	1.98	14.1	13.1	0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 103, SAC 122	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
POR 89, CHI 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
BOS 77, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%