NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	82		Excitement	2.2 [1231]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +6.9%
Sacramento Kings	116		Comeback	1.1 [1246]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -6.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Knight	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	37%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	16	54%	0.01	4	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	7	75%	-0.01	1	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	6	21%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.16	0.00	-0.11	15	38%	-0.01	5	-0.05	4	25%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	19	45%	-0.01	5	-0.05	2	100%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.04	15	53%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	11	60%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	9	75%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	10	64%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	27%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	-0.11	9	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	11	59%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	10	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	28.1	16.4	30.6	2.5	26.5	127.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +24.7%

SAC +3.8%

SAC +8.4%

SAC +12.2%

SAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	16.2	13.5	15.6	84.5	119.6	102.3
season	15.9	14.2		99.6	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.3	15.7	15.1	16.8	16.2
SAC	14.0	11.3	13.7	15.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	33	34	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.27	9	-43	52	15.6	16.5	-0.91	15.3	12.6	2.69
Othella Harrington	29	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.11	2	-36	38	16.9	15.9	1.08	14.2	13.2	1.00
Travis Knight	27	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-31	28	17.7	15.6	2.12	15.1	12.9	2.21
Mark Jackson	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.65	-30	-4	-26	15.9	16.4	-0.46	12.0	14.8	-2.83
Shandon Anderson	18	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-21	8	17.9	15.8	2.10	13.8	13.4	0.37
Charlie Ward	18	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-21	8	17.9	15.8	2.10	14.0	13.4	0.59
Latrell Sprewell	88	88	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.38	-23	-11	-12	16.0	18.1	-2.13	13.3	15.8	-2.49
Clar. Weatherspoon	65	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.55	-30	-4	-26	15.8	16.9	-1.14	13.3	13.9	-0.56
Kurt Thomas	73	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.65	-37	3	-40	15.6	17.8	-2.15	12.8	15.7	-2.86
Allan Houston	88	89	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.49	-32	-2	-30	16.0	17.7	-1.64	13.7	11.6	2.06

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	40	40	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.39	25	9	16	13.3	13.6	-0.28	15.9	16.4	-0.43
Chris Webber	63	65	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.67	34	0	34	12.6	15.3	-2.69	15.8	17.0	-1.18
Vlade Divac	50	50	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.29	21	13	8	13.9	13.1	0.79	16.4	16.0	0.38
Doug Christie	51	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.52	28	6	22	13.0	14.1	-1.09	16.0	16.4	-0.43
Peja Stojakovic	56	58	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.59	29	5	24	12.3	15.2	-2.95	15.8	16.7	-0.95
Mike Bibby	56	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.62	30	4	26	12.7	14.6	-1.85	15.5	17.1	-1.66
Hedo Turkoglu	41	40	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	23	-12	14.5	12.8	1.68	16.1	16.2	-0.13
Bobby Jackson	33	32	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	27	-20	14.7	12.9	1.84	17.6	15.5	2.12
Gerald Wallace	38	36	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	32	-30	14.9	12.6	2.22	16.7	15.9	0.78
Lawrence Funderburke	25	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	41	-48	15.0	13.0	2.05	16.8	16.0	0.82
Chucky Brown	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	39	-44	14.1	13.4	0.66	16.9	16.0	0.90
Mateen Cleaves	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	39	-44	14.1	13.4	0.66	16.9	16.0	0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, LAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MIL 71, MIA 110	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
SEA 96, WAS 137	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%