inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 71 Excitement2.1 [1290] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +14.4%
Miami Heat 110 Comeback1.1 [1202] LVPZaza Pachulia (MIL): -13.0%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Toni Kukoc0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Mo Williams0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.00-0.03856%0.041-0.012100%0.01
Dan Gadzuric0.010,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.000.04475%0.0100.0000%0.00
Joe Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reece Gaines0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Marcus Fizer-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02861%-0.003-0.00250%0.00
Calvin Booth-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.07621%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Erick Strickland-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.080.00-0.071123%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Anthony Goldwire-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02935%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Michael Redd-0.050,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.001347%-0.002-0.05475%-0.01
Desmond Mason-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.01737%-0.062-0.025100%0.01
Zaza Pachulia-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.15-0.01-0.03717%-0.082-0.05475%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.180.010.041288%0.162-0.01989%0.03
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.150.000.07894%0.0800.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.050.00-0.06442%0.0210.00475%0.01
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.00950%0.0100.002100%-0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01437%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01557%0.0010.00450%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01467%-0.011-0.00450%-0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01075%-0.0100.00475%-0.01
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.090.00-0.07520%-0.0120.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.021652%-0.011-0.02837%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.62.727.016.626.02.026.2130.1
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +37.4%
MIL -0.8%
MIA +4.5%
MIA +8.9%
MIL -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game17.614.615.579.8122.2104.0
season16.015.7104.4107.9
opponent15.515.0101.1107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL16.219.418.516.617.6
MIA13.814.914.914.814.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reece Gaines2122-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-383716.817.9-1.1414.414.6-0.21
Calvin Booth3233-0.00-0.500.490.26-9-302116.618.2-1.5714.914.40.54
Dan Gadzuric2223-0.03-0.470.430.20-8-312318.717.31.4014.714.50.17
Erick Strickland4141-0.13-0.370.230.28-14-251116.918.2-1.3015.613.71.92
Joe Smith3232-0.21-0.290.070.23-15-24917.917.50.4313.415.2-1.85
Toni Kukoc1313-0.22-0.280.060.10-11-281719.817.22.6015.514.41.05
Mo Williams3840-0.24-0.260.030.35-20-19-117.717.60.1413.915.1-1.25
Anthony Goldwire5150-0.26-0.24-0.030.29-19-20117.617.7-0.1415.113.91.25
Marcus Fizer5758-0.29-0.21-0.070.42-24-15-917.517.9-0.4315.213.41.85
Desmond Mason5253-0.30-0.20-0.110.34-22-17-518.017.10.8914.314.9-0.64
Michael Redd5151-0.34-0.16-0.180.54-30-9-2117.617.7-0.0513.815.5-1.67
Zaza Pachulia3534-0.46-0.04-0.420.18-22-17-517.917.50.4214.114.8-0.67

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damon Jones47470.430.070.36-0.3025141114.414.8-0.4319.016.12.81
Shandon Anderson42410.420.080.34-0.3426131314.714.40.3217.617.7-0.13
Eddie Jones62620.400.100.31-0.513182314.415.0-0.5817.617.7-0.11
Shaquille O'Neal59580.370.130.24-0.513092114.414.9-0.4617.517.8-0.32
Dwyane Wade48490.320.180.14-0.4125141114.115.1-1.0418.416.61.82
Christian Laettner32300.310.190.12-0.131524-915.114.30.8217.817.60.21
Udonis Haslem46470.190.31-0.12-0.452217514.015.1-1.0717.617.6-0.03
Michael Doleac27270.130.37-0.24-0.161029-1914.514.6-0.1218.517.21.28
Rasual Butler24220.000.50-0.50-0.09336-3314.714.50.2516.618.0-1.32
Steven Smith12120.000.50-0.50-0.06237-3515.214.50.6917.317.7-0.34
Alonzo Mourning16160.000.50-0.50-0.03138-3715.714.31.4416.317.9-1.61
Keyon Dooling3534-0.070.57-0.64-0.22534-2915.314.11.1815.518.9-3.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 97, LAL 1170.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
CHH 82, CLE 970.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
NYK 82, SAC 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%