NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	87		Excitement	9.2 [93]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): +23.3%
Denver Nuggets	88		Comeback	13.5 [61]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (MIN): -31.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.00	13	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Peeler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.19,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	64%	0.13	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	18	52%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	10	41%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	-0.31	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.31	-0.08	-0.26	-0.04	10	45%	-0.03	2	-0.28	9	89%	0.05

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.23	0.23	0.02	0.21	-0.00	15	50%	0.28	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	15	53%	0.15	2	-0.10	8	75%	0.04
Chris Andersen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	62%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	9	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.08	-0.01	4	60%	-0.07	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.12
Mengke Bateer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.07
Kenny Satterfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	6	43%	-0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
George McCloud	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.3,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.14	0.00	8	38%	-0.16	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	1.7	28.9	15.7	26.4	1.7	35.0	129.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +8.7%

DEN +11.2%

DEN +16.1%

DEN +5.6%

DEN +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DEN	NBA	MIN	DEN	NBA
this game	15.7	18.2	15.6	102.4	103.5	102.3
season	15.0	16.1		106.7	99.7
opponent	15.2	16.1		105.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.3	16.2	15.5	14.1	15.7
DEN	20.6	19.0	16.5	17.1	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	50	51	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.25	-1	0	-1	16.6	14.5	2.05	18.6	17.5	1.11
Robert Pack	19	20	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-1	1	14.6	16.0	-1.47	16.9	18.6	-1.65
Gary Trent	31	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	1	-3	16.2	15.4	0.80	17.1	18.7	-1.59
Felipe Lopez	7	6	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	2	-5	14.4	15.8	-1.40	16.3	18.3	-1.97
Joe Smith	26	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-3	5	13.8	16.6	-2.75	18.4	18.1	0.33
Sam Mitchell	23	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-2	3	18.4	14.7	3.67	17.5	18.4	-0.97
Anthony Peeler	55	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-2	3	14.8	17.5	-2.70	18.3	17.8	0.51
Wally Szczerbiak	78	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.49	0	-1	1	15.2	21.7	-6.53	18.1	19.3	-1.26
Chauncey Billups	66	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.51	-1	0	-1	16.0	14.6	1.47	18.6	16.9	1.65
Kevin Garnett	70	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.50	-2	1	-3	16.2	13.5	2.73	18.6	16.4	2.13

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	46	47	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.71	-1	2	-3	18.4	17.9	0.45	16.7	14.4	2.30
James Posey	77	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	-1	3	18.0	20.0	-2.03	15.8	14.5	1.34
George McCloud	44	46	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.55	-3	4	-7	19.1	17.2	1.92	16.6	14.7	1.89
Donnell Harvey	40	37	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	-4	9	17.7	18.6	-0.83	14.8	16.4	-1.61
Mengke Bateer	26	28	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	-9	19	17.7	18.4	-0.74	17.9	14.6	3.24
Juwan Howard	58	58	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.41	-8	9	-17	18.5	17.4	1.11	15.5	16.2	-0.69
Voshon Lenard	47	47	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	-2	5	18.3	18.0	0.25	14.4	17.4	-2.99
Kenny Satterfield	41	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	-3	7	17.2	19.1	-1.92	14.7	16.6	-1.89
Chris Andersen	4	4	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	2	-3	18.5	18.1	0.35	6.7	16.2	-9.41
Ryan Bowen	42	42	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.01	-6	7	-13	18.4	18.0	0.43	16.3	15.1	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.38,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.45,0.67,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, CHA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.28,1	90.4%
UTA 92, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.54,0.71,0.54,0.68,0.58,1	90.3%
DAL 103, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.42,1	89.6%