NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	8.9 [117]		MVP	Robert Horry (LAL): +34.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	3.3 [690]		LVP	Raef LaFrentz (DAL): -22.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.25,0.25	-0.01	0.25	-0.01	16	50%	0.32	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.2	0.10	0.10	-0.00	16	61%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Wang Zhi-zhi	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03	0.04	-0.07	-0.00	18	52%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	14	65%	0.20	5	-0.24	3	100%	0.02
Raef LaFrentz	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	0.00	8	39%	-0.10	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,0,0,0,0.35	0.35	0.02	0.34	0.01	14	53%	0.35	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.08	0.19	-0.04	11	70%	0.32	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	11	73%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.02	18	67%	0.18	2	-0.07	6	33%	-0.05
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	78%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	14	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	3	14%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.7	28.5	16.5	26.4	2.7	28.2	126.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.6%

DAL -7.7%

DAL -2.9%

LAL +23.2%

LAL +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	15.6	109.6	112.9	102.3
season	14.8	15.3		109.6	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		99.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.7	16.0	14.0	14.5	14.8
LAL	16.6	13.4	16.7	17.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	24	24	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.08	6	-8	14	15.0	14.7	0.30	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Shawn Bradley	5	5	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-2	2	16.4	14.7	1.67	17.2	15.9	1.28
Adrian Griffin	23	23	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-3	4	14.7	14.8	-0.11	16.6	15.8	0.77
Wang Zhi-zhi	26	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	0	-2	16.5	14.2	2.27	13.0	17.0	-3.91
Johnny Newman	19	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	7	-16	14.7	14.8	-0.10	15.8	16.0	-0.26
Raef LaFrentz	68	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-2	2	14.2	16.5	-2.27	17.0	13.0	3.91
Dirk Nowitzki	84	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	0	-2	15.2	11.5	3.71	16.0	15.5	0.55
Nick Van Exel	58	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-2	2	15.3	14.0	1.37	16.1	15.8	0.35
Michael Finley	94	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.8	0.0	14.82	16.0	0.0	15.99
Steve Nash	69	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	0	-2	13.8	17.8	-4.01	15.8	16.4	-0.58

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	64	64	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.42	17	-15	32	15.6	16.8	-1.12	15.6	13.2	2.38
Robert Horry	80	80	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.42	10	-8	18	16.0	15.9	0.08	14.8	14.6	0.21
Kobe Bryant	80	80	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.42	10	-8	18	16.0	15.9	0.08	14.8	14.6	0.21
Shaquille O'Neal	81	81	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.45	5	-3	8	15.9	16.7	-0.78	15.1	12.8	2.38
Derek Fisher	54	54	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.42	1	1	0	15.1	17.3	-2.18	15.3	14.1	1.21
Lindsey Hunter	39	40	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	1	0	17.3	15.1	2.18	14.1	15.3	-1.21
Mitch Richmond	13	14	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	10	-18	15.9	16.0	-0.08	14.6	14.8	-0.21
Samaki Walker	25	27	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.01	-11	13	-24	16.3	15.9	0.40	13.7	15.3	-1.51
Devean George	29	30	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	0.02	-15	17	-32	16.8	15.6	1.12	13.2	15.6	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 80, DEN 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.53,0.79,0.78,0.63,1	90.6%
DET 103, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.42,1	90.5%
ORL 92, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.58,1	90.5%