inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Philadelphia 76ers 80 Excitement9.6 [76] MVPRaef LaFrentz (DEN): +9.3%
Denver Nuggets 83 Comeback2.7 [274] LVPAntonio McDyess (DEN): -43.9%


Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Snow0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0-0.01-0.00-0.01961%0.233-0.2200%0.00
Bruce Bowen0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyrone Hill-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.04-0.080.04-0.001040%0.033-0.0700%0.00
Billy Owens-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00244%-0.0400.00540%-0.06
Matt Geiger-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00540%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Theo Ratliff-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.02755%0.014-0.12650%-0.07
Allen Iverson-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.09-0.012251%-0.092-0.041385%0.05
Aaron McKie-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.10-0.050.0050%-0.131-0.0300%0.00
George Lynch-0.300,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3-0.23-0.10-0.031513%-0.193-0.1100%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.380,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.38-0.14-0.24-0.001136%-0.114-0.27333%-0.07

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.08-0.00757%0.121-0.0200%0.00
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.080.08-0.010.09-0.00955%0.122-0.04250%-0.01
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.05-0.00462%0.0800.0000%0.00
Chris Herren0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00958%0.053-0.081100%0.00
Ron Mercer0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.08-0.061647%0.063-0.1300%0.00
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00558%0.013-0.08250%-0.02
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.0030%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.011544%0.134-0.222100%0.05
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.29,-0.23,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.38,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44-0.44-0.27-0.17-0.011334%-0.197-0.25922%-0.20
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.61.724.315.627.72.040.2136.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +65.2%
PHI -14.2%
PHI -3.2%
DEN +1.9%
DEN +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHIDENNBAPHIDENNBA
this game14.014.515.278.483.0101.7
season15.014.899.5101.5
opponent15.015.5103.798.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHI14.514.612.314.714.0
DEN13.715.413.915.314.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Billy Owens35320.36-0.861.220.0112-152712.714.6-1.8814.314.7-0.38
Matt Geiger35320.27-0.771.040.048-111912.614.7-2.1014.114.7-0.61
Aaron McKie44430.01-0.510.520.010-3314.014.00.0315.913.52.32
Bruce Bowen22-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-2-1-11.514.2-12.731.514.8-13.31
Larry Hughes4346-0.24-0.260.03-0.271-4515.013.31.6815.014.20.77
George Lynch7367-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.22-2-1-114.113.70.4115.213.22.07
Allen Iverson8987-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.41-2-1-113.815.2-1.3414.316.2-1.85
Tyrone Hill5355-0.580.08-0.66-0.35-85-1314.413.50.9413.715.5-1.81
Eric Snow7170-0.730.23-0.96-0.44-107-1714.014.0-0.0313.916.0-2.13
Theo Ratliff6566-0.780.28-1.05-0.42-129-2114.912.42.4315.113.51.62

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Van Exel95960.60-0.100.710.3110-71714.515.0-0.4814.112.02.10
Antonio McDyess84840.55-0.050.610.357-41114.614.40.1214.013.90.04
Ron Mercer80810.54-0.040.580.424-1514.713.80.9314.213.01.29
Raef LaFrentz38400.470.030.450.364-1515.414.01.4614.613.61.06
George McCloud60590.350.150.200.47-47-1114.714.30.3214.413.41.05
James Posey42440.190.31-0.120.026-3913.815.1-1.3413.414.4-0.96
Keon Clark48480.060.44-0.38-0.0021113.915.2-1.3213.614.4-0.79
Bryant Stith2223-0.000.50-0.500.03-14-514.614.50.1213.614.1-0.48
Popeye Jones2831-0.130.63-0.750.05-69-1515.314.21.0913.714.1-0.39
Chris Herren34-0.140.64-0.780.06-710-179.714.7-5.027.714.2-6.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.53,0.79,0.78,0.63,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 59, SAS 640.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.82,192.4%
IND 89, CHA 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.9,0.69,0.58,192.3%
CHH 89, LAC 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.74,191.7%