NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	103		Excitement	10.4 [60]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +97.8%
New York Knicks	105		Comeback	6.3 [439]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -23.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.27	0.02	0.25	-0.00	14	45%	0.27	0	0.00	5	100%	0.12
Maurice Evans	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	4	73%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	6	48%	0.09	1	-0.02	9	44%	-0.07
Rasheed Wallace	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	8	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.04	0.01	0.06	0.02	18	57%	0.17	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.02
Dale Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02	0.04	-0.07	-0.02	12	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.31
Richard Hamilton	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Delk	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.11,0.18,0.3,0.98	0.98	0.13	0.84	-0.01	10	78%	0.99	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.09
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.13	0.01	5	86%	0.24	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.14
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	9	65%	0.15	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	8	73%	0.16	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.05
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	6	43%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jackie Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	11	48%	0.03	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.07
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.14	0.01	9	60%	0.06	7	-0.30	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	30.3	16.8	32.3	2.5	43.5	150.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +81.2%

NYK +24.9%

DET -10.1%

DET -36.2%

DET -9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	16.1	15.6	113.2	115.4	104.4
season	16.9	15.7		108.3	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.8		108.7	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.6	15.3	16.3	15.0	15.5
NYK	16.5	17.5	15.7	15.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	30	32	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.06	8	-10	18	15.7	15.4	0.24	17.5	15.4	2.09
Lindsey Hunter	14	14	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.18	7	-9	16	15.0	15.6	-0.60	19.2	15.6	3.63
Tony Delk	47	46	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.15	6	-8	14	14.5	16.6	-2.10	17.1	15.2	1.87
Antonio McDyess	73	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-4	6	15.5	15.4	0.15	16.1	16.5	-0.42
Maurice Evans	34	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.40	5	-7	12	15.0	15.8	-0.85	15.7	16.4	-0.74
Richard Hamilton	34	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	9	-20	17.4	14.4	3.09	15.9	16.3	-0.37
Ben Wallace	69	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	3	-8	15.6	15.4	0.19	15.7	17.4	-1.67
Tayshaun Prince	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	4	-10	15.5	15.6	-0.08	15.7	17.4	-1.67
Chauncey Billups	76	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	6	-14	15.6	14.9	0.69	15.7	18.2	-2.48
Dale Davis	10	10	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.34	-8	6	-14	14.5	15.6	-1.13	15.3	16.2	-0.95

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	60	60	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.38	10	-8	18	15.4	17.5	-2.08	15.8	15.0	0.77
Eddy Curry	63	63	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.18	14	-12	26	15.2	18.2	-3.04	15.5	15.5	0.06
Nate Robinson	32	35	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.64	-5	7	-12	16.3	16.1	0.21	14.3	16.3	-2.03
Jalen Rose	55	53	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-14	30	15.1	17.7	-2.57	16.2	14.6	1.64
Steve Francis	44	45	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	-15	32	16.3	16.0	0.30	16.9	14.1	2.78
Jackie Butler	13	12	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.17	2	0	2	17.9	15.8	2.08	18.1	15.1	2.97
Jamal Crawford	46	47	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.52	-12	14	-26	16.3	15.9	0.41	13.8	17.3	-3.47
Stephon Marbury	60	57	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.10	8	-6	14	16.0	16.5	-0.47	16.0	14.6	1.42
David Lee	8	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	2	-2	15.4	16.2	-0.84	13.8	15.7	-1.92
Jerome James	11	10	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.19	-13	15	-28	19.6	15.7	3.97	13.3	15.8	-2.48
Channing Frye	28	28	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.11	-11	13	-24	17.2	15.7	1.55	15.1	15.7	-0.52
Qyntel Woods	35	36	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.17	-16	18	-34	17.9	15.1	2.83	15.3	15.6	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 73, MIA 78	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.36,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.74,1	91.0%
DAL 103, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.42,1	90.5%
CHH 89, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.74,1	90.0%