NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	94		Excitement	6.3 [537]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +14.0%
Utah Jazz	87		Comeback	5.2 [101]		LVP	Jarron Collins (UTA): -14.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	14	71%	0.25	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.03
Zeljko Rebraca	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.07	0.00	8	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	54%	0.07	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	20	40%	-0.10	3	-0.04	10	80%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	11	48%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	11	61%	0.09	3	-0.14	11	73%	0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	16	58%	-0.01	3	-0.04	6	33%	-0.10
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	6	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	3	20%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	27.6	16.3	21.5	2.4	38.5	132.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +53.9%

UTA -5.0%

UTA -15.6%

DET +14.4%

DET +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.6	101.1	92.6	102.3
season	15.7	16.1		101.9	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.8		101.9	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.8	15.0	17.6	15.5	15.9
UTA	14.2	12.2	19.2	15.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	83	83	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-8	23	15.8	16.2	-0.36	15.2	13.1	2.08
Jerry Stackhouse	79	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	0	7	15.5	17.9	-2.33	14.6	17.0	-2.44
Damon Jones	38	39	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	-1	9	16.0	15.8	0.16	13.8	15.7	-1.93
Michael Curry	36	38	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	-3	13	16.9	15.3	1.60	16.5	13.9	2.64
Jon Barry	45	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	9	-11	15.1	16.6	-1.45	13.8	15.9	-2.08
Corliss Williamson	43	43	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	6	-5	17.8	14.2	3.55	15.6	14.4	1.21
Zeljko Rebraca	8	9	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	7	-7	18.4	15.6	2.73	13.8	15.0	-1.27
Clifford Robinson	78	79	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	10	-13	14.9	20.7	-5.78	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Chucky Atkins	55	55	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	8	-9	15.8	16.0	-0.16	15.7	13.8	1.93

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	20	19	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.00	6	-13	19	11.4	15.9	-4.48	11.5	17.0	-5.47
Bryon Russell	38	38	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.02	3	-10	13	14.6	15.1	-0.49	15.6	16.1	-0.42
John Stockton	68	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.33	4	-11	15	14.0	17.4	-3.45	15.2	17.6	-2.40
Jarron Collins	63	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	1	-9	16.3	12.0	4.32	17.3	13.2	4.11
Rusty LaRue	26	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	4	-15	17.4	14.0	3.45	17.6	15.2	2.40
Donyell Marshall	71	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-4	1	14.9	15.0	-0.16	15.7	16.4	-0.71
John Starks	44	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-5	3	14.5	15.3	-0.80	15.8	15.9	-0.13
Andrei Kirilenko	61	60	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	3	-13	14.7	15.4	-0.77	15.9	15.9	-0.04
Karl Malone	79	79	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.30	-14	7	-21	15.3	12.9	2.37	16.2	14.4	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.28,0.14,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, SEA 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.16,0.09,0.04,0	91.4%
POR 91, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	91.2%
HOU 117, SAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	91.1%