NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	91		Excitement	5.8 [630]		MVP	Jeff McInnis (POR): +9.6%
New Jersey Nets	87		Comeback	5.2 [96]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -16.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.00	11	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	14	53%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Qyntel Woods	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	8	71%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Kaniel Dickens	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	11	25%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	12	47%	-0.05	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.05

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	20	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	61%	0.04	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	18	45%	-0.03	4	-0.11	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	22.4	15.3	24.1	1.6	34.5	127.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.8%

POR +2.7%

POR +31.1%

NJN -13.9%

NJN -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NJN	NBA	POR	NJN	NBA
this game	17.3	15.9	15.7	103.4	102.4	100.5
season	17.1	15.3		101.5	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.7		95.2	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.9	17.3	15.5	21.1	17.3
NJN	15.4	17.0	16.5	14.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	47	47	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.36	9	-5	14	18.9	15.5	3.40	15.9	16.1	-0.20
Zach Randolph	83	81	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-4	12	17.1	21.0	-3.89	16.2	11.0	5.19
Ruben Patterson	52	47	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	2	0	18.1	16.3	1.78	16.3	15.5	0.75
Damon Stoudamire	67	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	4	-4	17.5	16.8	0.68	15.3	17.9	-2.61
Rasheed Wallace	54	54	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	9	-14	18.4	15.6	2.74	16.3	15.4	0.92
Vladimir Stepania	22	21	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	-2	8	16.5	17.6	-1.05	15.0	16.2	-1.25
Qyntel Woods	39	39	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	-3	10	16.1	18.3	-2.20	17.0	15.1	1.91
Jeff McInnis	64	62	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	6	-8	15.9	21.1	-5.22	16.1	15.4	0.69
Kaniel Dickens	12	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	9	-14	16.8	17.4	-0.57	11.9	16.5	-4.58

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Pack	11	12	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-9	14	18.5	15.6	2.99	19.1	17.1	2.03
Brian Scalabrine	38	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-3	2	16.9	15.1	1.77	17.0	17.6	-0.64
Lucious Harris	33	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-5	6	16.5	15.6	0.94	20.7	15.4	5.33
Jason Collins	63	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-5	6	15.8	16.2	-0.39	17.9	15.7	2.15
Kerry Kittles	52	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	1	-6	15.6	16.5	-0.94	15.4	20.7	-5.33
Richard Jefferson	79	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	0	-4	15.8	18.2	-2.39	17.2	19.7	-2.51
Kenyon Martin	75	78	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.38	-8	4	-12	15.7	17.7	-1.99	17.2	18.2	-0.98
Jason Kidd	74	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	5	-14	15.6	18.5	-2.99	17.1	19.1	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 105, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.41,0.24,0.34,0.15,0.11,0.01,0.01,0	93.0%
MIN 97, LAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.05,0.01,0,0	92.9%
CLE 111, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.04,0,0,0	92.6%