NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Excitement	6.5 [515]		MVP	Ricky Davis (CLE): +36.4%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	5.2 [93]		LVP	Tyrone Hill (CLE): -16.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.23	0.19	0.05	15	84%	0.36	0	0.00	8	100%	0.06
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	12	67%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Wesley Person	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bryant Stith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Trajan Langdon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	10	36%	-0.05	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	12	39%	-0.10	3	-0.07	9	56%	-0.05

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	16	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	11	69%	0.07	1	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	4	82%	0.08	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	53%	0.02	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.07	0.03	11	43%	-0.10	1	-0.06	6	67%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.4	27.5	15.7	29.1	2.7	38.3	139.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.4%

IND -9.8%

CLE +21.2%

CLE +11.6%

CLE +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	14.7	16.0	15.6	115.6	107.6	102.3
season	15.8	15.3		102.6	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		100.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.8	13.4	14.5	14.5	14.7
IND	18.4	15.5	16.8	13.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	64	61	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.13	19	-7	26	13.7	16.8	-3.16	15.1	17.5	-2.40
Andre Miller	77	71	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.26	10	2	8	14.8	14.3	0.49	17.0	12.4	4.63
Jumaine Jones	28	27	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	4	4	14.8	14.7	0.16	16.3	15.8	0.53
Trajan Langdon	30	31	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	1	10	14.5	14.8	-0.30	13.5	17.2	-3.68
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	53	51	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	10	-8	15.1	14.2	0.90	15.1	17.0	-1.84
Chris Mihm	33	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	11	-10	14.4	14.9	-0.53	15.1	16.5	-1.40
Tyrone Hill	61	59	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	6	0	15.7	13.1	2.60	16.5	15.0	1.54
Bryant Stith	12	10	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	9	-6	13.0	15.0	-1.95	17.5	15.8	1.73
Wesley Person	73	71	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	9	-6	14.4	15.8	-1.41	16.0	15.8	0.25
Lamond Murray	49	46	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.07	-3	15	-18	15.5	13.9	1.68	17.2	14.7	2.57

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	35	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-7	2	15.6	16.2	-0.53	13.2	15.5	-2.28
Brad Miller	58	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-9	6	16.4	15.2	1.14	15.2	13.8	1.37
Jamaal Tinsley	44	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-6	0	16.2	15.8	0.39	14.8	14.7	0.10
Ron Mercer	58	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-10	8	16.2	15.6	0.54	15.8	12.8	2.96
Kevin Ollie	48	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-6	0	15.8	16.2	-0.39	14.7	14.8	-0.10
Jermaine O'Neal	80	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-2	-8	16.2	14.0	2.25	14.8	13.7	1.10
Reggie Miller	79	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.07	-14	2	-16	15.8	16.8	-1.04	14.8	13.9	0.91
Jonathan Bender	58	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	2	-16	15.3	17.0	-1.70	13.6	16.5	-2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 115, DEN 106	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.12,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.05,0	93.0%
SAS 91, UTA 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.38,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	92.8%
MIA 108, BKN 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.19,0.07,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.02,0	92.8%