NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	108		Excitement	7.6 [334]		MVP	James Johnson (MIA): +23.0%
Brooklyn Nets	99		Comeback	4.3 [525]		LVP	Isaiah Whitehead (BKN): -13.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Johnson	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.13	0.02	17	68%	0.30	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	18	54%	0.10	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Okaro White	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	56%	0.08	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.05	0.01	16	47%	0.11	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.03
Rodney McGruder	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	17	65%	0.24	3	-0.12	12	75%	-0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	60%	0.10	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	46%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	12	42%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	9	68%	0.10	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.04
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	42%	0.01	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03
Isaiah Whitehead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.7	31.3	14.8	27.2	2.0	34.3	134.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +18.6%

MIA +2.8%

BKN -2.8%

MIA +28.9%

MIA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	BKN	NBA	MIA	BKN	NBA
this game	15.1	13.7	14.8	108.0	99.0	107.7
season	15.4	13.7		106.7	103.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		109.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.2	15.6	14.7	16.0	15.1
BKN	12.0	13.2	17.4	12.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Okaro White	63	63	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.30	16	-7	23	15.1	15.1	-0.02	13.9	13.3	0.56
Tyler Johnson	74	73	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.26	16	-7	23	15.2	14.8	0.47	14.2	12.2	2.05
James Johnson	72	70	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.21	17	-8	25	15.5	14.0	1.51	13.8	13.4	0.40
Rodney McGruder	72	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	0	9	14.9	15.6	-0.68	14.0	12.9	1.09
Goran Dragic	71	73	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	6	-3	15.2	14.9	0.36	13.4	14.5	-1.10
Willie Reed	21	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	2	5	14.3	15.3	-1.06	13.7	13.7	0.02
Wayne Ellington	54	54	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	11	-13	14.6	15.7	-1.03	13.3	14.1	-0.75
Hassan Whiteside	51	53	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.14	-12	21	-33	15.4	14.9	0.52	13.3	14.1	-0.72
Luke Babbitt	22	22	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	18	-27	15.0	15.2	-0.15	12.5	14.0	-1.51

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	42	41	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.09	4	-13	17	13.0	14.2	-1.25	14.6	15.5	-0.82
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	47	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-9	9	13.1	14.2	-1.04	15.8	14.5	1.31
Isaiah Whitehead	31	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-5	1	14.8	13.2	1.68	15.5	14.9	0.62
Caris LeVert	38	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-6	3	13.1	14.1	-1.01	16.0	14.6	1.38
Randy Foye	56	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-9	9	13.0	14.5	-1.50	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Brook Lopez	66	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-11	13	13.2	14.5	-1.29	15.1	15.1	0.09
Bojan Bogdanovic	61	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-10	11	13.3	14.3	-0.94	15.0	15.3	-0.36
Justin Hamilton	36	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	0	-9	14.0	13.5	0.50	14.5	15.5	-0.97
Trevor Booker	51	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	2	-13	14.5	12.8	1.73	14.9	15.4	-0.48
Sean Kilpatrick	31	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	3	-15	15.0	13.1	1.91	14.6	15.3	-0.69
Joe Harris	41	41	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.27	-13	4	-17	14.6	13.1	1.53	15.1	15.1	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.19,0.07,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 103, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.04,0,0	93.1%
CLE 111, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.04,0,0,0	92.8%
SAC 105, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.02,0,0	92.7%