NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	89		Excitement	4.6 [888]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): +3.9%
Atlanta Hawks	104		Comeback	1.7 [604]		LVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): -16.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	85%	0.08	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Alton Ford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	17	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dan Majerle	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	52%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	23	48%	-0.02	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	8	22%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.02	0.05	15	45%	-0.05	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	21	63%	0.10	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.03
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	55%	0.00	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.05	13	70%	0.06	3	-0.07	7	86%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	8	69%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	12	54%	0.07	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	6	36%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	27.3	15.7	28.1	1.6	28.3	125.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +54.7%

ATL +2.8%

PHX -7.2%

PHX -0.9%

ATL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ATL	NBA	PHX	ATL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.6	93.7	109.5	102.3
season	15.1	15.5		101.0	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.8		103.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.4	16.9	15.9	13.0	15.3
ATL	14.6	13.1	14.7	17.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alton Ford	6	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-14	13	13.7	15.4	-1.77	8.8	15.4	-6.57
John Wallace	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-14	13	11.1	15.9	-4.79	14.8	15.0	-0.19
Milt Palacio	7	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-10	5	19.4	15.0	4.43	10.7	15.3	-4.62
Jake Voskuhl	16	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-8	1	19.8	14.4	5.39	10.9	15.7	-4.85
Bo Outlaw	66	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-7	-1	15.4	15.2	0.12	16.0	12.5	3.58
Anfernee Hardaway	27	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-7	-1	17.1	14.6	2.55	12.5	15.8	-3.39
Jake Tsakalidis	63	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-10	5	15.0	16.0	-0.97	15.9	13.0	2.86
Shawn Marion	69	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-8	1	15.0	16.1	-1.03	15.7	13.0	2.66
Dan Majerle	37	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	-4	-7	16.2	14.8	1.41	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Stephon Marbury	88	88	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-5	-5	15.0	19.4	-4.43	15.3	10.7	4.62
Joe Johnson	85	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-3	-9	14.6	21.2	-6.56	15.1	13.7	1.46

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	67	66	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.06	22	-7	29	14.3	16.6	-2.24	15.2	15.7	-0.57
Alan Henderson	49	50	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-3	21	14.6	15.5	-0.91	16.0	14.6	1.42
Jason Terry	81	81	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	1	13	14.7	16.4	-1.69	14.9	18.0	-3.14
DerMarr Johnson	71	72	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	7	1	15.6	13.2	2.44	15.5	14.9	0.60
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	84	84	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	8	-1	15.4	12.1	3.28	15.4	14.5	0.88
Hanno Mottola	11	11	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	7	1	12.1	15.4	-3.28	14.5	15.4	-0.88
Ira Newble	50	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	15	-15	15.1	14.8	0.32	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Jacque Vaughn	16	16	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	14	-13	15.8	14.8	0.99	18.0	14.8	3.22
Nazr Mohammed	46	45	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	18	-21	15.5	14.6	0.91	14.6	16.0	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 78, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SAC 84, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
POR 82, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%