NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	84		Excitement	10.0 [48]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): +30.3%
New Jersey Nets	86		Comeback	3.8 [424]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -33.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16	0.00	0.15	-0.00	5	53%	0.16	0	0.00	5	100%	0.17
Michael Stewart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Morris Peterson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.12
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	0.05	-0.10	0.01	16	66%	0.05	3	-0.11	9	100%	0.09
Jerome Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	27%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Alvin Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	9	30%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.09
Keon Clark	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Childs	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	5	20%	-0.11	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.14,-0.15,-0.33	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	23	39%	0.02	3	-0.35	8	100%	0.05

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,0.3	0.30	-0.05	0.36	0.01	14	48%	0.34	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.05
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0.14,0.25	0.25	0.05	0.19	-0.02	9	72%	0.48	2	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.06	0.02	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	10	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	6	40%	-0.11	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.13	-0.14	0.00	10	33%	-0.14	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.3	-0.30	-0.15	-0.15	-0.00	18	33%	-0.28	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.7	28.3	19.8	28.5	3.4	43.8	152.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +46.7%

TOR -6.2%

TOR -13.3%

NJN +17.0%

NJN +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.0	15.6	90.3	93.5	102.3
season	16.2	14.7		100.3	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.6		98.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.9	13.0	16.7	16.7	16.1
NJN	17.9	14.1	13.3	15.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	37	37	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.26	0	-2	2	17.2	15.4	1.81	13.7	15.9	-2.22
Michael Stewart	33	32	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.01	5	-7	12	17.4	15.4	2.01	15.3	14.8	0.48
Hakeem Olajuwon	26	26	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-1	0	14.1	16.9	-2.80	15.2	14.9	0.27
Morris Peterson	22	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.18	-8	6	-14	16.0	16.2	-0.23	16.3	14.6	1.80
Antonio Davis	76	75	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.48	8	-10	18	16.2	15.6	0.66	15.2	14.1	1.15
Vince Carter	75	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.47	6	-8	14	16.3	15.5	0.78	15.1	14.6	0.43
Keon Clark	43	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	7	-16	16.9	15.4	1.49	14.6	15.4	-0.83
Alvin Williams	61	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-1	0	16.8	14.8	1.96	15.4	14.2	1.15
Chris Childs	40	39	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.46	-5	3	-8	14.0	17.7	-3.74	14.4	15.4	-0.98
Jerome Williams	52	50	-0.98	0.48	-1.46	-0.83	-5	3	-8	15.4	17.0	-1.64	15.0	15.0	-0.09

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	50	49	1.01	-0.51	1.53	0.66	12	-10	22	14.8	15.3	-0.53	17.1	15.1	1.97
Jason Collins	56	55	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.43	4	-2	6	14.2	16.3	-2.14	15.5	17.0	-1.43
Jason Kidd	78	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	-1	4	14.9	15.5	-0.59	16.4	14.6	1.75
Kenyon Martin	81	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.48	-2	4	-6	15.1	14.0	1.14	16.2	15.9	0.25
Kerry Kittles	54	54	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	4	-6	15.1	14.8	0.27	17.2	14.6	2.65
Richard Jefferson	46	47	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	3	-4	14.4	15.6	-1.17	15.2	17.1	-1.85
Anthony Johnson	6	7	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	1	0	15.0	15.0	-0.00	16.1	16.1	0.01
Lucious Harris	52	53	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	2	-2	15.3	14.6	0.71	14.3	18.6	-4.34
Aaron Williams	37	39	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.11	-5	7	-12	16.6	13.9	2.71	17.3	15.3	1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.67,0.61,0.37,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 76, SEA 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.64,0.43,0.42,1	91.2%
DET 97, UTA 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.58,1	91.1%
NYK 90, MIL 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.52,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.28,0.43,0.59,1	91.0%