NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	76		Excitement	8.3 [192]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +15.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	79		Comeback	2.2 [364]		LVP	Brent Barry (SEA): -37.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	8	55%	0.07	3	-0.09	6	33%	-0.00
Steven Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.11,0.11,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	11	36%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	19	56%	0.06	5	-0.19	7	100%	0.04
Malik Rose	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	7	40%	-0.04	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00
Tony Parker	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	13	35%	-0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.15	0.15	-0.06	0.20	-0.01	22	41%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	6	79%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	8	56%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.02	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.08
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	10	30%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	12	37%	-0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.13	-0.26	-0.01	12	42%	-0.13	5	-0.24	2	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.6	1.0	27.0	15.8	24.4	2.6	38.0	143.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +43.0%

SAS -25.7%

SEA +21.9%

SEA +9.3%

SEA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SEA	NBA	SAS	SEA	NBA
this game	17.3	15.8	15.6	88.4	89.8	102.3
season	15.8	16.0		104.3	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.7		103.9	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.5	16.9	18.2	20.1	17.3
SEA	17.4	13.8	14.5	17.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	54	56	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.23	8	-11	19	17.4	17.2	0.17	15.5	16.4	-0.91
Cherokee Parks	1	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-2	1	18.0	17.3	0.68	11.5	15.9	-4.40
Danny Ferry	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-3	3	16.2	17.6	-1.40	16.7	15.6	1.10
Steven Smith	63	64	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.41	12	-15	27	17.5	16.8	0.74	15.9	15.6	0.23
Malik Rose	32	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	7	-17	17.3	17.3	-0.02	16.7	15.3	1.40
Tony Parker	79	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.46	5	-8	13	17.1	19.7	-2.60	16.1	12.7	3.35
Tim Duncan	84	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-2	1	17.4	13.0	4.43	15.8	16.5	-0.72
Bruce Bowen	76	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	4	-11	17.2	18.2	-0.99	15.7	16.5	-0.79
Antonio Daniels	23	23	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.27	-21	18	-39	18.2	17.0	1.22	14.3	16.3	-2.02

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Livingston	23	24	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.05	16	-13	29	15.8	15.8	0.04	19.7	16.4	3.36
Olumide Oyedeji	26	25	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-11	25	16.0	15.7	0.34	18.6	16.8	1.80
Shammond Williams	21	22	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.40	-1	4	-5	18.5	14.9	3.58	17.8	17.2	0.60
Gary Payton	74	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	0	3	15.5	17.4	-1.86	16.8	19.7	-2.84
Brent Barry	74	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.48	-4	7	-11	15.8	15.9	-0.07	17.2	18.1	-0.89
Jerome James	29	28	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	-3	9	15.1	16.1	-1.03	17.1	17.4	-0.27
Desmond Mason	72	70	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	6	-9	15.3	18.0	-2.69	16.8	19.5	-2.67
Vin Baker	67	65	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.22	-7	10	-17	16.4	14.0	2.42	17.9	15.4	2.51
Predrag Drobnjak	54	53	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.23	-9	12	-21	15.3	16.5	-1.20	16.3	19.0	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.64,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 84, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.67,0.61,0.37,0.43,0.58,1	91.2%
BKN 89, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.81,0.55,0.16,0.27,1	90.4%
DAL 66, UTA 68	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.55,0.57,1	90.2%