NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	97		Excitement	8.5 [176]		MVP	Raja Bell (UTA): +32.0%
Utah Jazz	102		Comeback	1.8 [831]		LVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): -23.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.21	0.11	0.10	-0.00	19	62%	0.27	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Ben Gordon	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.00	10	67%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Austin Daye	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	8	39%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Charlie Villanueva	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	7	69%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.01	11	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.10	0.01	13	47%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.32	0.32	0.04	0.28	0.01	9	55%	0.32	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.10	0.00	7	83%	0.22	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.13	0.04	10	67%	0.28	2	-0.08	13	100%	0.08
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.12	0.02	9	62%	0.20	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.06
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.07	0.00	9	57%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	0.02	-0.24	0.01	13	57%	-0.14	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	30.2	15.7	23.5	2.0	35.4	132.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +18.6%

UTA +34.6%

UTA +1.2%

DET -9.9%

UTA +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	16.8	15.6	15.5	109.0	114.6	105.7
season	16.7	15.9		106.4	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		108.2	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.1	15.2	18.3	16.7	16.8
UTA	15.6	14.8	16.8	15.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	44	43	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.06	6	-11	17	17.5	16.0	1.48	15.8	15.4	0.40
Ben Wallace	41	41	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-10	15	18.1	15.6	2.45	14.9	16.1	-1.22
Charlie Villanueva	44	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.11	2	-7	9	17.9	15.7	2.15	15.0	16.2	-1.16
Jason Maxiell	25	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-1	-3	15.3	17.3	-2.02	16.9	15.1	1.86
Rodney Stuckey	24	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	5	-15	15.6	17.2	-1.58	16.6	15.2	1.40
Tracy McGrady	65	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-10	15	17.2	15.6	1.58	15.2	16.6	-1.40
Tayshaun Prince	74	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-9	13	16.7	17.1	-0.35	15.9	14.1	1.71
Austin Daye	33	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	6	-17	15.6	17.5	-1.91	15.9	15.4	0.56
Richard Hamilton	46	47	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.30	-11	6	-17	15.9	17.7	-1.78	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Greg Monroe	49	46	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.32	-11	6	-17	16.5	17.1	-0.68	15.7	15.5	0.14

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	63	64	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.43	13	-8	21	14.9	17.2	-2.22	17.8	14.1	3.75
Paul Millsap	60	60	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.51	-5	10	-15	15.5	15.7	-0.21	17.8	14.6	3.25
Raja Bell	62	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.49	-5	10	-15	15.5	15.8	-0.28	17.3	15.5	1.80
Al Jefferson	62	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	8	-11	15.2	16.4	-1.18	17.7	14.7	2.97
Earl Watson	24	23	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	-6	17	14.8	15.9	-1.03	16.6	16.8	-0.28
Kyrylo Fesenko	26	26	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	-3	11	17.0	15.0	2.05	14.9	17.6	-2.67
Ronnie Price	24	23	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	-4	13	16.2	15.4	0.80	15.1	17.3	-2.22
Deron Williams	69	70	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.35	-5	10	-15	15.5	15.9	-0.41	16.8	16.6	0.18
CJ Miles	33	31	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.11	8	-3	11	17.1	14.7	2.35	14.9	17.8	-2.92
Francisco Elson	10	11	-0.14	0.65	-0.79	-0.12	-1	6	-7	15.4	15.6	-0.21	13.4	17.3	-3.89
Gordon Hayward	12	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	10	-15	15.4	15.6	-0.19	13.9	17.2	-3.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 81, MIA 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.42,1	92.0%
CLE 93, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.58,1	91.3%
TOR 84, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.67,0.61,0.37,0.43,0.58,1	91.1%