NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	107		Excitement	7.7 [279]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +44.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	104		Comeback	1.9 [231]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -22.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.1,0.45,0.44	0.08	0.37	-0.00	21	66%	0.55	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Tony Battie	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.15	0.12	0.01	7	100%	0.27	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.01	11	54%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.06	0.01	18	48%	0.06	2	-0.07	10	80%	0.03
Walter McCarty	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	0.01	7	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Milt Palacio	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Williams	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	9	46%	-0.03	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.24,0.21	0.21	0.02	0.18	-0.01	14	57%	0.26	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	8	68%	0.16	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	13	69%	0.16	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.00	0.07	12	69%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Rick Brunson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	6	56%	-0.01	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.22,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.13	-0.06	16	43%	0.04	6	-0.27	5	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.4	28.3	14.8	25.0	1.8	38.7	133.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +13.6%

BOS +8.6%

POR -17.5%

BOS +43.9%

BOS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	POR	NBA	BOS	POR	NBA
this game	14.3	14.2	15.6	105.9	103.0	102.3
season	15.0	16.0		100.9	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.7		102.2	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.2	16.4	14.9	12.9	14.3
POR	16.8	12.0	15.1	13.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	72	71	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.29	23	-20	43	14.7	13.1	1.61	15.7	10.7	5.07
Kenny Anderson	79	80	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.51	9	-6	15	14.0	15.5	-1.49	14.7	12.3	2.39
Antoine Walker	88	88	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.47	10	-7	17	14.3	14.5	-0.20	14.7	11.2	3.53
Eric Williams	81	79	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	-2	7	14.4	13.8	0.61	14.4	13.7	0.64
Paul Pierce	94	93	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	4	-5	14.3	13.9	0.46	14.4	11.7	2.69
Walter McCarty	9	11	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	2	-1	13.6	14.4	-0.80	12.0	14.5	-2.50
Erick Strickland	52	54	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	11	-19	13.3	15.3	-2.06	11.9	16.9	-4.95
Milt Palacio	6	5	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.08	-7	10	-17	15.5	14.2	1.29	10.8	14.4	-3.61
Vitaly Potapenko	24	24	-0.47	0.97	-1.45	0.03	-17	20	-37	15.7	13.9	1.81	12.1	14.9	-2.81

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	12	12	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.02	6	-9	15	12.1	14.5	-2.43	15.2	14.2	1.09
Shawn Kemp	47	44	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.08	9	-12	21	13.9	14.5	-0.62	15.1	13.7	1.38
Ruben Patterson	53	52	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.13	8	-11	19	13.7	14.9	-1.19	15.3	13.2	2.06
Rick Brunson	4	4	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-5	7	13.2	14.3	-1.02	15.2	14.2	1.00
Dale Davis	41	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	7	-17	16.1	12.9	3.15	14.2	14.3	-0.12
Scottie Pippen	71	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-6	9	14.6	13.4	1.13	14.3	14.3	-0.02
Derek Anderson	42	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	2	-7	13.3	14.9	-1.53	13.6	14.8	-1.19
Rasheed Wallace	71	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	3	-9	14.3	14.0	0.32	14.0	15.1	-1.18
Bonzi Wells	79	78	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.37	-11	8	-19	13.9	15.3	-1.39	13.9	15.6	-1.65
Damon Stoudamire	85	85	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.44	-11	8	-19	14.6	12.4	2.20	14.1	15.2	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 94, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.07,0.23,0.08,0	92.3%
LAC 94, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.05,0	91.9%
SAS 100, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.15,0.17,0	91.8%