NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	103		Excitement	8.6 [162]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +22.1%
Atlanta Hawks	105		Comeback	22.5 [30]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -32.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.00	7	79%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Aaron Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.00	5	71%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Todd MacCulloch	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	7	78%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Keith Van Horn	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.06	-0.02	17	42%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27	-0.07	-0.19	0.01	16	50%	-0.17	3	-0.09	8	50%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.08,-0.33	-0.13	-0.19	-0.00	16	36%	-0.22	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.12	-0.02	18	65%	0.25	2	-0.03	7	71%	0.07
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.12	0.01	15	62%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	18	65%	0.13	1	-0.03	16	100%	0.12
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	9	44%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	6	25%	-0.14	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.3	-0.30	-0.01	-0.29	0.00	8	44%	-0.30	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.27

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.7	28.4	15.2	29.6	1.7	34.1	133.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +24.4%

ATL +9.5%

ATL +10.0%

ATL +8.0%

NJN -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	14.0	16.1	15.6	108.4	109.4	102.3
season	14.7	15.5		101.4	99.7
opponent	15.2	16.0		103.9	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.7	13.1	13.1	15.3	14.0
ATL	15.9	16.3	15.7	16.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	17	16	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.10	9	-11	20	13.6	14.1	-0.50	19.1	15.6	3.50
Brian Scalabrine	7	6	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-3	4	14.3	14.0	0.31	20.0	15.9	4.11
Aaron Williams	24	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	1	-4	14.2	13.9	0.22	17.7	15.6	2.14
Lucious Harris	36	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-5	8	14.1	13.9	0.18	17.4	15.4	2.02
Todd MacCulloch	53	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	4	-10	14.2	13.7	0.55	14.9	17.8	-2.94
Jason Kidd	77	79	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-4	6	13.7	15.2	-1.44	15.9	17.2	-1.25
Richard Jefferson	48	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.35	-2	0	-2	12.9	15.1	-2.15	16.0	16.3	-0.33
Kenyon Martin	57	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.48	1	-3	4	14.7	12.9	1.80	16.5	15.6	0.90
Keith Van Horn	79	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	4	-10	14.0	14.1	-0.15	15.5	19.2	-3.68
Kerry Kittles	77	78	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.36	-9	7	-16	14.2	13.1	1.17	15.8	17.7	-1.87

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	92	90	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.39	8	-6	14	15.9	22.0	-6.11	14.0	14.6	-0.63
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	91	90	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	-1	4	16.3	13.6	2.69	14.2	10.6	3.59
Nazr Mohammed	66	67	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	-5	12	15.2	18.2	-3.04	13.7	14.7	-1.06
Jason Terry	96	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	16.1	0.0	16.15	14.0	0.0	14.00
Jacque Vaughn	34	34	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.59	-5	7	-12	18.1	15.1	2.96	15.0	13.5	1.51
Ira Newble	49	48	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	-5	12	14.8	17.5	-2.72	13.9	14.1	-0.13
Cal Bowdler	7	6	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	0	2	16.6	16.1	0.46	10.7	14.2	-3.56
Dion Glover	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	1	0	14.3	16.3	-2.01	10.7	14.3	-3.55
Mark Strickland	11	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	9	-16	18.0	15.9	2.09	13.6	14.0	-0.41
Hanno Mottola	27	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	10	-18	18.5	15.2	3.25	14.9	13.6	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.28,0.15,0.04,0.15,0.18,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 96, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.42,1	89.0%
DET 86, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.42,1	88.1%
ORL 93, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.33,0.42,1	87.9%