NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	96		Excitement	9.1 [100]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +21.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	5.9 [204]		LVP	Serge Ibaka (OKC): -20.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	13	55%	0.16	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.08
Kendrick Perkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	5	50%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.04
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	18	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,-0.04	0.04	-0.10	-0.02	23	60%	0.27	5	-0.31	6	100%	0.05
Derek Fisher	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	7	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.21	-0.02	-0.19	0.00	10	40%	-0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.05,0.19,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.15	0.01	25	53%	0.35	2	-0.13	18	100%	0.31
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	5	100%	0.26	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	8	60%	0.13	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.05
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	10	45%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	13	39%	-0.12	1	-0.03	12	92%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	3.7	38.0	-702.5	29.5	2.8	44.2	-557.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC -14.5%

LAL +60.4%

LAL +10.6%

OKC -8.6%

LAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAL	NBA	OKC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.7	16.4	15.6	104.3	106.5	102.8
season	14.7	16.2		107.9	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.8		103.5	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.5	15.4	17.0	12.4	14.7
LAL	16.1	18.1	15.8	15.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	31	31	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-8	13	15.0	14.6	0.39	15.7	16.7	-1.02
Thabo Sefolosha	46	46	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.06	0	-3	3	14.5	15.0	-0.57	17.6	15.2	2.37
Nazr Mohammed	26	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-1	-1	15.3	14.5	0.79	14.3	17.3	-3.01
Daequan Cook	4	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-1	-1	13.2	14.8	-1.56	15.0	16.5	-1.47
Derek Fisher	34	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-4	5	15.1	14.5	0.55	15.5	16.9	-1.35
Russell Westbrook	67	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-3	3	14.8	14.5	0.30	16.7	15.6	1.12
Kendrick Perkins	59	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-2	1	14.0	16.1	-2.16	17.0	15.3	1.68
Kevin Durant	79	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	2	-7	14.6	15.6	-1.02	16.6	15.3	1.30
James Harden	56	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.56	1	-4	5	14.5	15.1	-0.66	15.7	17.6	-1.90
Serge Ibaka	58	56	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.31	-12	9	-21	15.6	13.3	2.34	16.9	15.6	1.36

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	78	77	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.40	15	-12	27	16.3	16.6	-0.25	14.6	15.6	-1.03
Metta World Peace	72	70	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.42	13	-10	23	17.4	12.8	4.62	14.9	14.3	0.55
Kobe Bryant	75	75	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-8	19	16.3	16.6	-0.28	14.5	15.6	-1.04
Steve Blake	57	55	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.47	2	1	1	15.5	17.9	-2.40	14.9	14.4	0.51
Pau Gasol	73	72	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.41	-4	7	-11	17.0	14.0	3.04	13.8	17.9	-4.10
Jordan Hill	35	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	8	-13	15.1	17.2	-2.04	16.9	13.4	3.56
Ramon Sessions	53	53	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.02	-7	10	-17	17.8	14.6	3.18	14.6	14.9	-0.36
Matt Barnes	22	23	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.01	-10	13	-23	12.3	17.7	-5.39	14.8	14.7	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.58,1	90.7%
SAS 70, MIN 74	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.58,1	90.5%
LAC 117, OKC 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.22,0.47,0.4,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.59,1	90.3%