NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	117		Excitement	9.3 [112]		MVP	Austin Rivers (LAC): +20.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	119		Comeback	4.0 [402]		LVP	Wesley Johnson (LAC): -18.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Rivers	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.21	0.23	0.00	0.02	19	80%	0.28	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.1	0.17	-0.08	-0.01	20	68%	0.17	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.05
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	125%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jeff Ayres	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	2	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Pablo Prigioni	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	15	50%	0.07	1	-0.08	8	50%	-0.08
Cole Aldrich	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,-0.18	0.01	-0.18	0.01	13	54%	0.12	2	-0.30	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	7	73%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.10	0.01	7	76%	0.26	2	-0.11	3	33%	-0.09
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.02,0.1,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.01	18	60%	0.10	5	-0.15	7	100%	0.03
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.12	-0.01	22	56%	-0.01	5	-0.10	11	91%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.8	33.2	18.4	24.4	2.6	36.0	139.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -27.5%

OKC +3.3%

OKC +45.2%

OKC +27.9%

OKC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	OKC	NBA	LAC	OKC	NBA
this game	15.9	14.5	14.9	124.5	124.0	105.1
season	14.8	14.4		106.6	111.5
opponent	15.1	14.9		104.4	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.3	14.7	14.5	18.5	15.9
OKC	15.7	13.0	14.3	15.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	24	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.17	-6	4	-10	17.2	15.4	1.81	14.7	14.4	0.25
CJ Wilcox	17	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-4	6	17.5	15.5	2.04	13.6	14.6	-1.03
Cole Aldrich	59	61	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-6	10	15.2	17.1	-1.90	15.2	13.1	2.13
Pablo Prigioni	39	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-6	10	15.8	15.9	-0.11	13.5	15.1	-1.62
Jeff Ayres	35	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	4	-10	17.1	15.2	1.90	13.4	15.0	-1.59
Austin Rivers	76	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-2	2	16.1	14.7	1.41	14.4	14.6	-0.11
Wesley Johnson	72	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	1	-4	15.6	16.7	-1.07	14.8	13.2	1.54
Jeff Green	70	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.62	4	-6	10	15.4	17.2	-1.81	14.4	14.7	-0.25
Jamal Crawford	78	80	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.49	-9	7	-16	15.5	17.6	-2.12	14.7	13.5	1.16

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	41	41	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.70	8	-6	14	13.7	15.1	-1.41	16.5	15.4	1.11
Kevin Durant	80	77	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.33	10	-8	18	14.4	14.7	-0.34	16.4	13.5	2.85
Andre Roberson	67	64	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-7	16	14.7	13.9	0.87	16.0	15.5	0.53
Steven Adams	61	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	0	2	14.6	14.3	0.29	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Russell Westbrook	72	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.45	-4	6	-10	14.4	14.7	-0.37	15.8	16.0	-0.13
Kyle Singler	33	33	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	3	-4	15.2	14.1	1.13	14.9	16.4	-1.47
Dion Waiters	32	32	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	5	-8	14.2	14.6	-0.42	15.2	16.2	-0.93
Enes Kanter	34	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	2	-2	14.6	14.4	0.28	16.2	15.6	0.59
Anthony Morrow	5	4	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	6	-10	14.8	14.5	0.35	12.5	16.0	-3.51
Serge Ibaka	55	54	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.04	-7	9	-16	14.4	14.5	-0.12	15.7	16.1	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.22,0.47,0.4,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 96, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.42,1	90.3%
WAS 96, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.58,1	90.2%
LAL 108, UTA 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.85,1	89.9%