inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 96 Excitement10.1 [34] MVPJuwan Howard (WAS): +10.0%
Golden State Warriors 100 Comeback6.4 [83] LVPErick Dampier (GSW): -36.3%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juwan Howard0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.020.05-0.031862%0.194-0.09475%-0.02
Otis Thorpe0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.03-0.011266%0.152-0.08560%-0.03
Tim Legler0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Terry Davis-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00444%-0.0600.00837%-0.05
Mitch Richmond-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.04,-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.011950%0.042-0.111090%0.04
Jeff McInnis-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.00125%-0.031-0.04250%-0.01
Tracy Murray-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.0030%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Rod Strickland-0.300,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3-0.10-0.190.011447%-0.194-0.11633%-0.20

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.07-0.00758%0.0900.005100%0.06
Muggsy Bogues0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.040.00371%0.091-0.041100%0.01
Adonal Foyle00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.1,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.09-0.090.002063%0.042-0.053100%0.05
Chris Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00340%-0.0200.004100%0.03
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.01250%0.022-0.0400%0.00
John Starks0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.03-0.021235%-0.011-0.022100%0.02
Terry Cummings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.2-0.20-0.02-0.18-0.001057%-0.122-0.08875%-0.07
Bimbo Coles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22-0.22-0.10-0.15-0.031038%-0.172-0.05667%-0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.18,-0.22,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36-0.36-0.14-0.24-0.011248%-0.145-0.22944%-0.10
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.01.830.416.328.62.446.5149.9
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS -46.9%
GSW +36.3%
GSW +72.0%
WAS -12.1%
GSW +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASGSWNBAWASGSWNBA
this game15.815.415.8104.3107.599.6
season15.515.998.895.1
opponent15.515.998.1101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.914.217.217.015.8
GSW15.815.215.515.015.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Otis Thorpe81790.16-0.660.830.22-2-2016.311.64.7015.713.71.94
Jeff McInnis79-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-5617.615.61.9513.615.6-2.00
Tim Legler78-0.05-0.450.41-0.081-5620.315.44.8915.415.40.01
Terry Davis1617-0.17-0.330.160.10-95-1418.115.32.7712.815.9-3.11
Calbert Cheaney2728-0.18-0.320.15-0.263-71016.115.60.4314.315.8-1.49
Tracy Murray3335-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.27-2-2015.116.1-1.0113.716.4-2.69
Ben Wallace3937-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.554-81213.917.1-3.2118.213.54.78
Mitch Richmond8585-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.31-51-615.420.3-4.8915.415.4-0.01
Rod Strickland8584-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.32-51-615.617.6-1.9515.613.62.00
Juwan Howard8083-0.560.06-0.63-0.39-62-815.815.50.3115.415.20.19

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Starks69700.80-0.301.100.3316-122815.415.20.2716.712.83.88
Antawn Jamison57570.79-0.291.090.3814-102415.415.20.1916.015.40.60
Bimbo Coles56570.52-0.020.550.4140416.114.31.7315.516.2-0.74
Donyell Marshall80790.480.020.460.3640415.613.81.7715.418.2-2.77
Terry Cummings33330.190.31-0.110.31-48-1216.115.01.1216.015.60.36
Adonal Foyle13130.020.48-0.460.0204-413.815.6-1.7718.215.42.77
Chris Mills42390.010.49-0.480.13-48-1214.116.4-2.3614.616.6-2.05
Muggsy Bogues3735-0.020.52-0.55-0.0204-414.316.1-1.7316.215.50.74
Erick Dampier6262-0.140.64-0.79-0.08-26-815.914.31.6615.715.9-0.19
Tony Delk1615-0.150.65-0.800.08-812-2014.615.5-0.9713.416.2-2.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 89, POR 900.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.58,190.5%
LAL 108, UTA 1140.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.85,190.4%
LAC 117, OKC 1190.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.22,0.47,0.4,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.59,190.2%