NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	90		Excitement	8.0 [238]		MVP	Bo Outlaw (PHX): +15.1%
Phoenix Suns	91		Comeback	1.6 [936]		LVP	A.J. Guyton (CHI): -44.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Fizer	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.00	9	64%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Tyson Chandler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	5	64%	0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Kevin Ollie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	60%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.06	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.02,-0.13,-0.08	0.02	-0.07	0.03	16	60%	-0.02	2	-0.06	10	70%	0.01
Brad Miller	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	12	42%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	11	46%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
A.J. Guyton	-0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.44	0.02	-0.46	0.00	10	50%	-0.44	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.13	-0.02	4	78%	0.18	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.09	-0.03	18	63%	0.26	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Joe Crispin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	3	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	65%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Alton Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	7	47%	-0.04	5	-0.16	5	60%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.16,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.36	-0.36	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	14	45%	-0.14	6	-0.22	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	25.4	15.5	25.3	1.7	32.8	126.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +71.5%

CHI -11.0%

PHX +1.5%

CHI -11.3%

CHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHX	NBA	CHI	PHX	NBA
this game	17.2	15.6	15.6	102.3	103.4	102.3
season	15.6	15.1		96.3	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.6		102.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.2	15.2	20.6	18.1	17.2
PHX	14.8	16.8	13.7	17.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	38	36	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.04	10	-11	21	16.3	17.8	-1.55	15.6	15.5	0.09
Trenton Hassell	17	14	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.11	-3	2	-5	18.3	16.9	1.39	17.0	15.3	1.72
Fred Hoiberg	31	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-5	9	17.7	16.9	0.83	15.1	15.8	-0.76
Marcus Fizer	44	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.46	13	-14	27	16.2	18.1	-1.93	16.9	14.3	2.64
Kevin Ollie	35	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.23	-13	12	-25	17.9	16.7	1.24	15.4	15.7	-0.26
A.J. Guyton	53	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.70	12	-13	25	16.7	17.9	-1.24	15.7	15.4	0.26
Charles Oakley	36	37	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	-13	12	-25	17.8	16.7	1.03	14.6	16.3	-1.66
Metta World Peace	72	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-3	5	17.0	17.9	-0.94	15.5	15.9	-0.43
Eddie Robinson	56	56	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.47	-5	4	-9	16.7	17.9	-1.16	15.6	15.6	-0.01
Brad Miller	58	60	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.52	-12	11	-23	18.1	15.4	2.74	15.1	16.4	-1.28

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	66	66	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.54	7	-6	13	15.1	16.8	-1.68	17.2	17.1	0.11
Bo Outlaw	68	67	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.43	7	-6	13	15.2	16.7	-1.48	18.2	14.0	4.16
Stephon Marbury	66	65	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-6	13	15.1	16.8	-1.68	17.9	15.2	2.64
Shawn Marion	79	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	0	1	15.5	16.0	-0.49	17.5	14.7	2.79
Jake Voskuhl	42	43	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.02	10	-9	19	15.5	15.6	-0.15	17.8	16.6	1.26
Rodney Rogers	46	45	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.45	-9	10	-19	15.6	15.5	0.15	16.6	17.8	-1.26
Joe Crispin	22	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	7	-13	16.8	15.1	1.68	15.2	17.9	-2.64
Alton Ford	20	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	7	-13	16.7	15.2	1.48	14.0	18.2	-4.16
Tony Delk	31	31	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.09	-6	7	-13	16.6	15.0	1.58	16.4	17.6	-1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.68,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 81, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.96,1	92.0%
PHX 105, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.55,0.71,0.83,0.91,1	91.9%
DAL 105, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.68,0.9,1	91.8%