NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	89		Excitement	5.0 [808]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +11.7%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	1.0 [921]		LVP	Jim Jackson (MIA): -13.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Gatling	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	5	92%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Mike James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.04	8	73%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	16	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Vladimir Stepania	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	4	42%	-0.04	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	11	39%	-0.06	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	8	78%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	6	72%	0.14	2	-0.06	13	92%	0.06
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	9	74%	0.07	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	77%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	15	56%	0.06	5	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.6	26.3	15.4	28.5	2.4	33.0	137.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +45.4%

UTA +21.6%

MIA -32.7%

UTA +14.9%

UTA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	UTA	NBA	MIA	UTA	NBA
this game	16.7	16.6	15.6	102.3	117.4	102.3
season	16.5	16.1		96.6	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.8		101.9	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.5	19.8	14.4	17.7	16.7
UTA	16.5	16.2	15.6	18.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	18.0	16.7	1.34	15.0	16.6	-1.64
Malik Allen	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	18.0	16.7	1.34	15.0	16.6	-1.64
Vladimir Stepania	38	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.17	5	-17	22	15.4	17.7	-2.33	17.3	16.0	1.27
Eddie Jones	45	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-8	4	16.1	17.3	-1.17	16.3	17.0	-0.69
LaPhonso Ellis	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-8	4	18.0	15.1	2.97	17.1	16.0	1.17
Eddie House	33	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-1	-10	15.2	17.6	-2.36	15.2	17.5	-2.28
Rod Strickland	57	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-8	4	16.8	16.4	0.48	17.2	15.5	1.77
Kendall Gill	45	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-4	-4	18.2	15.0	3.15	18.3	14.8	3.56
Chris Gatling	43	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	0	-12	14.7	18.6	-3.87	15.9	17.3	-1.39
Brian Grant	48	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	2	-16	18.7	14.2	4.44	16.3	17.0	-0.75
Jim Jackson	77	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-4	-4	16.3	19.9	-3.64	15.9	21.5	-5.55

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	64	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-2	16	16.8	16.0	0.83	17.8	13.7	4.11
John Stockton	54	55	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	-3	18	17.0	15.9	1.13	17.9	14.6	3.30
Scott Padgett	54	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	6	0	16.7	16.5	0.19	16.4	17.1	-0.62
Jarron Collins	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	2	8	16.1	18.0	-1.92	15.2	20.8	-5.58
Karl Malone	54	56	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	4	4	17.1	15.7	1.38	18.6	13.2	5.36
Andrei Kirilenko	69	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	5	2	15.9	19.7	-3.85	16.0	20.0	-4.01
Quincy Lewis	39	38	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	9	-6	17.6	15.8	1.83	16.2	17.1	-0.92
DeShawn Stevenson	32	32	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.13	-3	15	-18	15.9	17.0	-1.13	14.6	17.9	-3.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, NOH 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
OKC 79, LAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.5%
WAS 95, ORL 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%