NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	79		Excitement	4.8 [847]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +9.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	87		Comeback	1.0 [1192]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -14.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.03	16	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	38%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	24	41%	-0.06	4	-0.09	11	82%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	14	58%	0.13	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	4	70%	0.09	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	10	57%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Josh Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	19	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	12	58%	-0.04
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	46%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	11	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.8	33.7	18.6	30.0	2.8	42.3	156.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +38.0%

OKC -7.2%

LAL +14.8%

LAL +4.3%

LAL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAL	NBA	OKC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	18.2	15.3	90.8	101.2	106.0
season	15.0	15.7		106.2	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.8	12.5	16.5	15.8	15.1
LAL	19.4	18.0	17.8	17.8	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	38	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-12	16	15.1	15.1	-0.02	18.6	17.9	0.67
Eric Maynor	18	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-7	6	15.2	15.1	0.16	19.5	17.9	1.63
Nick Collison	48	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-12	16	15.2	15.0	0.21	19.2	17.0	2.19
Serge Ibaka	40	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-7	6	15.1	15.1	-0.03	18.9	17.7	1.16
Nenad Krstic	38	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	2	-12	15.3	14.9	0.40	17.4	18.9	-1.48
James Harden	29	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	3	-14	16.1	14.6	1.47	18.3	18.2	0.10
Kevin Durant	78	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-5	2	14.6	19.4	-4.85	18.0	20.5	-2.51
Russell Westbrook	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	15.1	15.2	-0.16	17.9	19.5	-1.63
Jeff Green	77	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.16	-15	7	-22	15.1	15.2	-0.12	17.7	22.0	-4.28

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	74	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	-1	10	17.9	20.5	-2.65	14.9	16.2	-1.34
Derek Fisher	65	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-2	12	17.9	19.2	-1.28	14.8	15.9	-1.06
Andrew Bynum	55	54	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	-1	10	17.9	18.7	-0.81	16.3	13.2	3.08
Pau Gasol	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	-1	10	17.7	20.6	-2.89	14.5	18.1	-3.67
Metta World Peace	73	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	3	2	18.0	19.6	-1.64	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Lamar Odom	43	47	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	8	-8	19.3	17.2	2.07	14.8	15.4	-0.57
Jordan Farmar	17	18	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	6	-4	19.1	18.0	1.04	15.7	14.9	0.79
Luke Walton	8	9	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	5	-2	19.2	18.1	1.13	16.9	14.9	2.00
Shannon Brown	21	22	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	13	-18	20.3	17.6	2.73	15.8	14.8	0.97
Josh Powell	2	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	10	-12	21.0	18.2	2.85	10.0	15.2	-5.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 104, SAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAC 96, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.95,1	95.3%
CHA 81, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.3%