inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 91 Excitement11.6 [20] MVPAlvin Williams (TOR): +36.3%
Toronto Raptors 94 Comeback8.2 [228] LVPVince Carter (TOR): -54.3%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.030.00671%0.111-0.05540%-0.08
DerMarr Johnson0.020,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00650%0.0200.002100%0.01
Emanual Davis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.01-0.050.040.001132%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dion Glover-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00433%-0.031-0.031100%0.00
Mark Strickland-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.040.00542%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Jacque Vaughn-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.050.00370%0.012-0.08475%0.00
Hanno Mottola-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.01325%-0.032-0.052100%0.01
Theo Ratliff-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.050.00233%-0.032-0.082100%0.01
Jason Terry-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.15,-0.15-0.02-0.130.001659%0.005-0.162100%0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim-0.350,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.33,-0.35-0.12-0.24-0.012051%-0.076-0.281191%0.12

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alvin Williams0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.1,0,-0.14,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.360.360.100.26-0.012165%0.493-0.121100%0.01
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.010.00657%0.061-0.052100%0.02
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.020.002100%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.04-0.04-0.060.020.001164%0.106-0.14367%-0.01
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.04-0.080.021064%-0.021-0.042100%0.04
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.00812%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Chris Childs0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.08-0.08-0.00835%-0.092-0.0710%-0.02
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.15-0.02-0.0170%-0.112-0.0500%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.31,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.31,-0.4,-0.54-0.54-0.16-0.39-0.012530%-0.521-0.02367%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.72.030.116.622.52.535.21.617.8153.9
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.01.716.7149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL -5.2%
ATL -33.5%
TOR +38.2%
TOR +43.8%
TOR +6.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLTORNBAATLTORNBA
this game15.416.315.691.093.1102.3
season15.516.299.7100.3
opponent15.615.2100.9103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ATL13.614.215.319.115.615.4
TOR15.217.713.518.817.816.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Strickland42380.56-1.061.620.1215-183315.615.20.4119.014.64.37
Jacque Vaughn31310.02-0.520.53-0.104-71117.214.62.6117.615.71.88
Nazr Mohammed4243-0.00-0.500.50-0.3813-162916.314.71.6818.714.54.13
Hanno Mottola3535-0.16-0.340.190.08-85-1314.415.9-1.4316.915.91.02
Emanual Davis7576-0.17-0.330.17-0.346-91514.717.3-2.5616.415.80.58
Dion Glover2525-0.19-0.310.130.08-96-1515.415.30.1115.816.4-0.63
Theo Ratliff3131-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.09-63-914.115.9-1.7813.117.7-4.64
Shareef Abdur-Rahim9292-0.540.04-0.58-0.39-52-715.711.64.0616.217.3-1.16
Jason Terry7779-0.710.21-0.93-0.48-85-1315.216.0-0.8315.718.3-2.55
DerMarr Johnson5055-1.050.55-1.60-0.55-1714-3115.315.5-0.2014.218.8-4.60

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hakeem Olajuwon62650.69-0.190.880.3711-81915.517.6-2.1415.315.5-0.28
Alvin Williams79800.68-0.180.860.3611-81915.718.2-2.4315.713.81.95
Antonio Davis87860.68-0.180.860.429-61516.117.6-1.5015.116.8-1.66
Vince Carter91890.51-0.010.520.4521116.216.8-0.5814.819.8-5.01
Chris Childs52500.280.220.060.37-36-917.714.82.8415.515.20.24
Jerome Williams59580.150.35-0.200.034-1516.116.5-0.4216.014.51.52
Tracy Murray1413-0.030.53-0.560.06-36-918.116.02.0815.215.4-0.15
Dell Curry3737-0.210.71-0.91-0.03-69-1516.316.3-0.0114.715.7-1.04
Keon Clark2422-0.250.75-1.010.04-1013-2317.515.91.6616.615.01.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.84,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 111, BOS 1150.5,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.76,0.85,0.68,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.88,0.84,0.98,189.9%
MIA 96, CLE 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.85,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.85,189.4%
SAS 93, BKN 950.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.84,0.85,188.6%