NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	81		Excitement	8.7 [135]		MVP	Tony Massenburg (MEM): +6.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	84		Comeback	2.0 [282]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -29.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	10	61%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Eric Montross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	28	52%	0.11	3	-0.15	4	50%	-0.03
Keon Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	9	57%	0.02	2	-0.14	3	67%	-0.02
Antonio Davis	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	-0.00	12	31%	-0.11	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Alvin Williams	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.28	-0.08	-0.22	-0.02	12	25%	-0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	5	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	17	57%	0.09	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	62%	0.10	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	65%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	12	35%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	4	20%	-0.07	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.06
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.09	0.00	11	26%	-0.20	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.3	-0.30	-0.05	-0.22	0.03	17	53%	-0.16	4	-0.14	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	28.0	14.7	25.8	2.5	36.3	134.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +24.1%

TOR -12.5%

MEM +64.5%

TOR -20.0%

TOR -6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MEM	NBA	TOR	MEM	NBA
this game	16.0	16.9	15.6	93.1	95.5	102.3
season	16.2	15.7		100.3	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.6		103.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.2	16.0	17.6	15.5	16.0
MEM	14.8	16.0	19.2	18.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Montross	11	12	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.06	7	-10	17	15.1	16.1	-1.03	18.2	16.7	1.44
Keon Clark	19	20	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.06	0	-3	3	14.8	16.3	-1.53	19.5	16.2	3.34
Dell Curry	49	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.32	7	-10	17	16.1	15.9	0.21	16.8	17.1	-0.32
Hakeem Olajuwon	27	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-1	-1	16.5	15.8	0.71	15.1	17.7	-2.62
Chris Childs	37	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	0	-3	16.2	15.8	0.44	16.6	17.1	-0.52
Alvin Williams	69	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-4	5	15.7	17.1	-1.42	17.2	16.1	1.06
Jerome Williams	66	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	5	-13	16.0	16.0	-0.08	17.0	16.6	0.44
Antonio Davis	82	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	4	-11	16.1	14.2	1.90	16.7	19.8	-3.13
Vince Carter	75	78	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.41	-10	7	-17	16.2	14.5	1.73	16.8	17.6	-0.77

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	74	74	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.49	13	-10	23	17.3	15.0	2.28	16.2	14.5	1.70
Jason Williams	64	65	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.35	17	-14	31	16.9	17.0	-0.17	16.4	14.7	1.69
Pau Gasol	78	77	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-1	5	16.9	17.1	-0.20	15.7	18.5	-2.84
Stromile Swift	59	59	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.41	-3	6	-9	17.2	16.3	0.91	16.0	16.0	-0.07
Tony Massenburg	39	38	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	-5	13	16.5	17.2	-0.73	16.7	15.4	1.24
Grant Long	66	65	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.22	-5	8	-13	16.9	17.0	-0.05	15.4	17.9	-2.51
Rodney Buford	36	35	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	16.2	17.4	-1.23	16.6	15.6	1.07
Brevin Knight	24	22	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.13	-14	17	-31	17.0	16.9	0.17	14.7	16.4	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.68,0.59,0.7,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 72, GSW 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	92.1%
TOR 94, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.75,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.77,0.91,1	92.0%
GSW 88, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	91.9%