NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	72		Excitement	8.0 [227]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): +7.1%
Golden State Warriors	78		Comeback	1.6 [848]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -34.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	13	45%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	14	55%	0.02	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.05
Ruben Patterson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	6	47%	-0.00	3	-0.15	3	33%	-0.05
Jeff McInnis	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	17	35%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22	-0.12	-0.09	0.00	10	24%	-0.11	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.35,-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.01	14	35%	-0.17	4	-0.18	3	33%	-0.05

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.05,0	0.00	-0.07	0.08	0.01	13	38%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sean Lampley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	10	41%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	14	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	11	37%	-0.15	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	17	52%	0.02	6	-0.19	6	67%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	26.6	16.3	27.2	1.7	31.4	128.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +15.0%

GSW +5.4%

GSW +15.8%

GSW +16.2%

POR -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	17.1	15.3	15.7	80.9	87.6	100.5
season	17.1	16.1		101.5	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.7		101.6	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.5	17.1	16.0	15.7	17.1
GSW	13.8	16.4	15.3	15.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	35	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-8	10	18.7	16.0	2.67	15.6	15.1	0.57
Qyntel Woods	30	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-11	16	16.8	17.2	-0.35	17.0	14.4	2.57
Matt Carroll	4	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-6	6	9.2	17.4	-8.19	11.0	15.4	-4.44
Vladimir Stepania	21	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-7	8	16.8	17.2	-0.40	17.8	14.5	3.23
Dale Davis	45	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	1	-8	18.5	15.6	2.83	14.1	16.5	-2.38
Bonzi Wells	32	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-1	-4	15.8	17.8	-1.96	13.6	16.1	-2.50
Jeff McInnis	72	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-2	-2	16.9	17.7	-0.79	15.5	14.3	1.15
Rasheed Wallace	76	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	1	-8	17.3	15.5	1.79	15.0	17.1	-2.09
Zach Randolph	65	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	2	-10	16.3	19.2	-2.93	15.8	13.9	1.86
Damon Stoudamire	65	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	1	-8	17.2	16.7	0.43	14.9	16.3	-1.36

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	82	81	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.41	11	-5	16	15.3	15.7	-0.46	17.6	12.1	5.43
Speedy Claxton	74	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-6	18	14.9	17.1	-2.21	17.7	13.7	3.98
Mike Dunleavy	70	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	0	6	15.1	16.0	-0.90	16.2	20.2	-4.04
Erick Dampier	78	77	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	2	2	15.1	16.8	-1.74	17.0	17.2	-0.21
Brian Cardinal	45	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	2	2	15.3	15.2	0.08	17.3	16.9	0.40
Clifford Robinson	54	55	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	2	2	15.7	14.6	1.14	17.0	17.1	-0.08
Calbert Cheaney	32	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	9	-12	16.2	14.8	1.45	17.3	16.9	0.32
Sean Lampley	1	1	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	8	-10	3.0	15.4	-12.43	15.0	17.1	-2.09
Mickael Pietrus	1	1	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	8	-10	3.0	15.4	-12.43	15.0	17.1	-2.09
Avery Johnson	8	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	10	-14	19.0	14.9	4.07	12.6	17.5	-4.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 94, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.85,0.95,1,1	93.7%
NYK 83, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.75,0.93,0.96,1,1	93.5%
HOU 99, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.47,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.96,1	93.3%