NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	94		Excitement	7.6 [327]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +19.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	101		Comeback	1.8 [873]		LVP	J.R. Smith (NOK): -12.5%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	13	62%	0.17	1	-0.03	13	77%	-0.03
Rasual Butler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07	0.03	0.06	0.03	6	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kirk Snyder	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.05
Jackson Vroman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
David West	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	27	46%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Desmond Mason	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	11	31%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
J.R. Smith	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	21%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.08	0.02	24	61%	0.29	3	-0.10	11	91%	0.03
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.11	-0.01	12	46%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	8	60%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.03	0.02	7	87%	0.12	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	7	28%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	31.4	16.4	30.4	1.8	34.2	140.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +87.4%

NOK -16.1%

NOK -14.4%

NOK -7.1%

MIL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	MIL	NBA	NOK	MIL	NBA
this game	16.8	14.1	15.6	100.0	109.8	104.4
season	16.3	15.5		101.2	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	15.4	16.7	18.4	16.7	16.8
MIL	15.9	13.3	13.5	13.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jackson Vroman	3	3	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-9	11	24.3	16.5	7.78	5.0	14.4	-9.45
J.R. Smith	41	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-10	13	16.4	17.1	-0.68	15.0	13.5	1.56
Kirk Snyder	12	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-4	1	20.5	16.3	4.24	12.1	14.5	-2.44
P.J. Brown	72	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.36	8	-15	23	16.0	19.4	-3.41	14.5	13.1	1.41
Rasual Butler	35	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-6	5	17.0	16.7	0.28	14.7	13.8	0.85
Desmond Mason	60	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-1	-5	16.4	17.5	-1.05	14.0	14.4	-0.39
Chris Andersen	29	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	5	-17	20.5	15.2	5.33	13.9	14.2	-0.31
Speedy Claxton	50	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-3	-1	16.5	17.1	-0.55	14.8	13.4	1.36
Chris Paul	86	84	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.28	-10	3	-13	16.4	20.9	-4.46	13.8	17.6	-3.82
David West	82	80	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.26	-12	5	-17	16.3	20.0	-3.67	14.0	15.0	-0.99

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	73	75	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-5	17	13.7	16.0	-2.34	16.8	16.7	0.08
Michael Redd	77	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-4	15	13.8	15.8	-1.98	16.7	17.4	-0.70
Jamaal Magloire	66	69	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-2	11	13.6	15.5	-1.89	17.0	16.4	0.60
Mo Williams	54	56	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	1	5	14.2	14.1	0.11	17.6	15.6	2.00
Bobby Simmons	62	63	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	2	3	14.4	13.7	0.70	16.7	17.0	-0.35
T.J. Ford	58	60	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	-1	9	14.1	14.3	-0.20	16.9	16.6	0.37
Jermaine Jackson	3	2	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	7	-7	7.7	14.4	-6.69	5.5	17.0	-11.54
Dan Gadzuric	12	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	8	-9	14.8	14.0	0.80	18.5	16.6	1.98
Toni Kukoc	31	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	13	-19	15.5	13.4	2.07	16.9	16.8	0.11
Jiri Welsch	24	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	16	-25	16.3	13.4	2.91	14.9	17.5	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.85,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 72, GSW 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	93.7%
MIA 77, MIN 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.45,0.53,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	93.1%
MIA 101, UTA 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.6,0.75,0.79,0.98,1,1	92.6%