NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	83		Excitement	7.0 [416]		MVP	Willie Green (ORL): +19.5%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	1.8 [512]		LVP	Kyle O'Quinn (ORL): -17.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.02	16	66%	0.08	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Quincy Acy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cleanthony Early	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	46%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Cole Aldrich	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.02	0.05	6	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	11	41%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.05	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	29%	-0.01	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	42%	-0.00	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	9	40%	-0.10	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	-0.01	8	65%	0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.01	8	57%	0.07	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.02	0.05	11	58%	0.08	3	-0.09	11	100%	0.07
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.05	-0.07	0.04	20	61%	0.10	4	-0.16	6	67%	-0.03
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	29.0	16.4	25.2	2.6	41.3	144.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +64.3%

NYK -4.6%

ORL +2.9%

NYK -14.7%

ORL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.8	15.1	89.2	96.7	104.2
season	16.1	14.9		98.5	100.4
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.1	16.2	16.5	16.6	16.3
ORL	13.8	14.5	14.8	16.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	26	27	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-12	18	16.3	16.4	-0.09	15.5	14.5	1.03
Quincy Acy	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-8	10	9.5	16.5	-6.98	18.0	14.7	3.28
Pablo Prigioni	34	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-9	12	15.9	16.6	-0.66	16.0	14.1	1.88
Lou Amundson	27	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.10	-7	1	-8	17.6	15.8	1.83	15.7	14.4	1.25
Cleanthony Early	30	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.23	4	-10	14	16.2	16.4	-0.15	15.0	14.7	0.31
Shane Larkin	38	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-7	8	15.0	17.3	-2.30	14.1	15.3	-1.26
Cole Aldrich	26	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-3	0	15.9	16.5	-0.57	13.9	15.2	-1.27
Andrea Bargnani	36	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-4	2	16.2	16.4	-0.18	14.0	15.2	-1.24
Tim Hardaway Jr.	63	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	4	-14	16.4	16.2	0.15	14.7	15.0	-0.31
Jose Calderon	70	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	1	-8	17.0	14.2	2.81	14.8	14.9	-0.10
Langston Galloway	44	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	3	-12	16.7	16.0	0.75	14.6	15.0	-0.43
Jason Smith	69	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	2	-10	16.3	16.5	-0.28	14.8	14.8	0.03

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	72	75	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.30	13	-7	20	14.5	15.7	-1.16	16.0	17.9	-1.93
Nikola Vucevic	79	78	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-6	18	14.7	15.1	-0.33	16.4	16.2	0.16
Elfrid Payton	63	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-4	14	14.9	14.7	0.20	16.1	16.9	-0.85
Dewayne Dedmon	38	39	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	-1	8	14.6	15.0	-0.41	17.2	15.7	1.41
Willie Green	46	46	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	3	0	15.0	14.6	0.33	16.3	16.3	-0.01
Channing Frye	19	20	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	2	2	13.6	15.1	-1.46	17.5	16.0	1.55
Kyle O'Quinn	33	33	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	5	-4	14.8	14.8	-0.01	15.6	16.7	-1.17
Evan Fournier	52	53	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	7	-8	15.2	14.2	1.01	17.1	15.4	1.68
Luke Ridnour	29	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	10	-14	14.7	14.9	-0.20	16.9	16.1	0.85
Ben Gordon	15	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	11	-16	14.6	14.8	-0.23	14.6	16.6	-1.99
Aaron Gordon	14	14	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.03	-10	16	-26	16.6	14.5	2.18	14.9	16.6	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.75,0.93,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 88, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	93.5%
POR 72, GSW 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	93.5%
ORL 90, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.59,0.67,0.8,0.93,0.96,0.99,1	93.2%