NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	8.7 [144]		MVP	Corliss Williamson (DET): +27.6%
Detroit Pistons	95		Comeback	4.3 [390]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -63.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.12	0.00	10	74%	0.24	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Rashard Lewis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.02	0.01	13	75%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.03	0.01	5	85%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.09
Art Long	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.04	-0.05	24	40%	-0.00	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	5	25%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Vin Baker	-0.63	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.3,-0.63	-0.12	-0.52	-0.00	8	30%	-0.42	2	-0.22	4	0%	-0.25

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.28	0.28	0.05	0.22	-0.00	11	65%	0.32	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.07	-0.00	13	77%	0.18	2	-0.13	4	75%	-0.03
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	87%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	15	49%	0.15	3	-0.22	9	89%	0.06
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	11	21%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	28.2	15.7	25.0	2.4	37.5	136.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +19.3%

DET +21.3%

SEA -11.1%

DET +13.8%

DET +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DET	NBA	SEA	DET	NBA
this game	15.3	15.4	15.6	95.8	102.2	102.3
season	16.0	15.7		106.3	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.8		99.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.2	14.8	16.6	15.8	15.3
DET	15.2	14.0	17.7	14.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	63	61	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.01	7	-11	18	15.0	15.7	-0.70	16.0	14.1	1.88
Calvin Booth	14	16	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.09	6	-10	16	16.8	15.0	1.76	17.0	15.0	1.99
Predrag Drobnjak	17	16	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-4	4	14.6	15.4	-0.85	14.4	15.5	-1.11
Shammond Williams	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-2	0	18.6	15.1	3.50	13.8	15.4	-1.64
Art Long	42	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.27	7	-11	18	14.7	15.8	-1.11	16.4	14.6	1.83
Brent Barry	81	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-7	10	15.2	15.9	-0.67	15.8	12.7	3.10
Olumide Oyedeji	24	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	3	-10	13.4	15.9	-2.55	13.9	15.8	-1.92
Earl Watson	26	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	5	-14	14.9	15.4	-0.50	14.6	15.6	-1.03
Vin Baker	55	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-1	-2	16.1	14.1	1.96	14.7	16.3	-1.54
Gary Payton	91	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	0	-4	15.2	17.0	-1.79	15.4	13.8	1.64
Vladimir Radmanovic	57	56	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.43	-18	14	-32	16.0	14.2	1.75	14.6	16.5	-1.83

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	48	47	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.57	6	-2	8	15.4	15.3	0.13	15.3	15.2	0.11
Jon Barry	51	51	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-8	20	14.6	16.3	-1.70	14.9	15.7	-0.87
Corliss Williamson	53	54	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.30	8	-4	12	14.8	16.0	-1.18	15.0	15.7	-0.66
Jerry Stackhouse	73	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	-2	8	15.2	15.8	-0.57	15.3	15.1	0.23
Michael Curry	55	55	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.52	-4	8	-12	15.4	15.3	0.16	15.6	14.9	0.71
Damon Jones	25	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	1	2	14.8	15.6	-0.81	16.4	14.9	1.46
Chucky Atkins	66	69	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	4	-4	16.0	13.7	2.38	15.1	15.8	-0.72
Zeljko Rebraca	28	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.09	0	4	-4	14.6	15.7	-1.12	16.7	14.7	1.97
Clifford Robinson	66	70	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.03	-11	15	-26	16.3	13.1	3.11	14.7	16.9	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.45,0.29,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, OKC 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.58,1	91.8%
NOH 95, LAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.15,0.42,1	90.2%
ORL 100, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.41,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.55,0.29,0.55,0.58,1	90.1%