NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	95		Excitement	9.4 [82]		MVP	Ryan Gomes (LAC): +12.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	99		Comeback	5.8 [155]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (LAC): -26.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	7	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	8	60%	0.15	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.05
David West	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.07	0.08	-0.08	-0.06	23	56%	0.11	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.05
Quincy Pondexter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Trevor Ariza	-0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	11	37%	-0.11	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.11
Chris Paul	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19	-0.01	-0.15	0.03	12	56%	0.05	4	-0.24	1	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12	0.12	-0.01	0.14	-0.00	2	33%	0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.10	0.03	15	55%	0.17	2	-0.05	14	43%	-0.16
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.03	0.03	18	59%	0.06	0	0.00	10	70%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	2	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	63%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Willie Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	0.02	-0.26	0.01	11	67%	-0.07	4	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	33.5	16.7	24.9	2.6	51.3	155.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +9.3%

NOH -5.9%

LAC +16.7%

LAC +28.0%

LAC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	LAC	NBA	NOH	LAC	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.5	103.3	107.6	105.7
season	16.2	15.4		104.6	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.9		107.2	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.1	17.7	17.2	15.2	16.0
LAC	14.7	15.0	16.2	15.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	67	67	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.07	8	-12	20	15.8	16.6	-0.78	15.2	15.7	-0.56
DJ Mbenga	8	7	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.06	6	-10	16	19.7	15.6	4.12	21.0	14.8	6.15
Willie Green	30	28	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-8	12	17.9	15.1	2.84	19.6	13.4	6.22
Quincy Pondexter	10	9	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-5	6	19.8	15.5	4.28	19.2	14.9	4.33
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	2	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	1	-6	20.0	15.9	4.10	13.0	15.4	-2.37
Jarrett Jack	28	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-1	-2	16.4	15.8	0.58	16.4	14.8	1.60
Jason Smith	23	22	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	4	-12	18.3	15.2	3.14	17.7	14.6	3.11
Chris Paul	67	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-2	0	15.3	17.8	-2.54	14.0	18.7	-4.68
Marco Belinelli	79	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	0	-4	15.5	18.8	-3.33	14.6	19.5	-4.83
David West	73	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	2	-8	15.3	18.7	-3.40	14.2	20.2	-5.96
Trevor Ariza	73	75	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.57	-11	7	-18	15.3	18.6	-3.33	14.7	17.9	-3.15

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	75	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.42	7	-3	10	14.5	18.8	-4.30	14.9	20.6	-5.71
Al-Farouq Aminu	71	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-3	10	15.2	15.6	-0.39	15.3	18.2	-2.85
Blake Griffin	79	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-5	14	14.3	21.4	-7.07	15.4	18.8	-3.36
Ryan Gomes	26	26	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.44	2	2	0	15.0	15.4	-0.44	17.8	15.3	2.48
DeAndre Jordan	67	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	-3	10	14.0	18.8	-4.73	15.6	16.9	-1.33
Willie Warren	20	20	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	0	4	17.6	14.7	2.98	15.3	16.2	-0.88
Randy Foye	19	18	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.09	1	3	-2	18.6	14.5	4.11	17.3	15.7	1.60
Rasual Butler	29	30	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.22	-4	8	-12	16.7	14.7	1.96	18.2	14.9	3.33
Brian Cook	18	19	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	6	-8	18.6	14.5	4.10	18.0	15.5	2.53
Craig Smith	20	22	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	11	-18	20.6	13.8	6.75	17.9	15.4	2.46
Eric Bledsoe	47	48	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.14	-4	8	-12	13.5	17.2	-3.69	16.1	15.9	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.15,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.42,1	90.3%
SEA 91, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.45,0.29,0.43,0.42,1	90.2%
BOS 103, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.4,0.54,0.46,0.32,0.42,1	90.2%