NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	10.7 [29]		MVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (TOR): +80.5%
Atlanta Hawks	103		Comeback	3.2 [375]		LVP	Dion Glover (ATL): -35.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.81	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.81	0.04	0.76	-0.00	11	67%	0.86	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.10
Dell Curry	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	7	79%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	8	78%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	75%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	13	41%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	42%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Vince Carter	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.01,-0.09,-0.04,-0.19	-0.07	-0.14	-0.02	18	49%	0.02	4	-0.21	3	100%	0.03
Alvin Williams	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.10	-0.01	16	31%	-0.16	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.17	0.17	-0.04	0.20	-0.01	14	56%	0.25	3	-0.08	11	82%	0.12
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.16	0.16	-0.04	0.21	0.00	12	46%	0.21	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.16
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	53%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	9	47%	0.03	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	12	52%	0.01	2	-0.09	7	43%	-0.07
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	62%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Dion Glover	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,-0.36	-0.36	0.07	-0.44	-0.01	16	71%	-0.27	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.3	25.6	15.4	25.2	1.8	41.0	134.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +99.8%

ATL -63.2%

TOR +24.6%

ATL -8.0%

ATL -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.3	15.6	106.1	106.2	102.3
season	16.2	15.5		100.3	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.6		103.9	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.2	14.2	16.0	18.2	15.3
ATL	14.5	14.0	14.0	14.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	25	27	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.67	1	0	1	15.1	15.3	-0.21	12.4	15.0	-2.51
Alvin Williams	87	85	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.42	7	-6	13	14.7	20.0	-5.32	13.9	16.7	-2.84
Morris Peterson	59	59	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.52	0	1	-1	15.0	15.7	-0.65	14.2	14.3	-0.05
Vince Carter	88	87	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.46	-2	3	-5	15.8	11.0	4.76	14.5	11.8	2.74
Hakeem Olajuwon	64	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	2	-3	15.8	14.2	1.59	15.2	12.7	2.44
Keon Clark	47	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	-5	11	14.4	16.1	-1.76	13.9	14.6	-0.75
Carlos Arroyo	22	23	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	2	-3	15.2	15.3	-0.06	13.9	14.4	-0.51
Jerome Williams	19	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.07	-1	2	-3	17.4	14.8	2.60	15.6	13.9	1.66
Antonio Davis	79	78	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.15	-4	5	-9	15.2	15.4	-0.18	14.3	14.1	0.19

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emanual Davis	70	72	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.13	7	-8	15	13.9	15.1	-1.18	15.4	14.9	0.53
Hanno Mottola	19	18	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.02	9	-10	19	13.0	14.6	-1.56	18.7	14.5	4.22
Jason Terry	51	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	4	-9	14.1	14.5	-0.42	14.1	16.7	-2.55
Cal Bowdler	30	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-2	3	15.7	13.6	2.04	18.1	14.1	4.07
Dion Glover	76	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.54	7	-8	15	14.3	14.2	0.03	16.1	12.9	3.18
Nazr Mohammed	67	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	1	-3	13.6	15.7	-2.04	14.1	18.1	-4.07
Toni Kukoc	67	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	3	-7	14.4	13.9	0.47	15.3	15.1	0.20
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	80	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.49	-10	9	-19	14.6	13.0	1.56	14.5	18.7	-4.22
Jacque Vaughn	27	26	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.60	-8	7	-15	15.1	13.9	1.18	14.9	15.4	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.19,0.34,0.25,0.43,0.58,0.41,0.46,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.18,0	91.2%
MIN 90, HOU 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.19,0.22,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.27,0	91.0%
GSW 106, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.53,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.67,0.42,0	90.8%