NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	106		Excitement	9.4 [108]		MVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): +40.6%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	2.3 [689]		LVP	Rodney Hood (UTA): -19.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.26	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0,0.26	0.09	0.19	0.02	20	59%	0.32	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Ian Clark	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.04	0.00	5	120%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.04	0.01	15	67%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	7	56%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
James Michael McAdoo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.04	-0.03	21	41%	0.10	5	-0.16	7	57%	-0.08
Leandro Barbosa	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.27,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.14	0.28	0.02	15	66%	0.41	0	0.00	5	100%	0.12
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	54%	0.05	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.04	0.01	19	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.16,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	15	61%	0.21	3	-0.21	1	100%	0.01
Trey Lyles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	6	29%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Rodney Hood	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.19	-0.19	-0.01	-0.20	-0.02	12	46%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.6	29.3	15.4	23.3	1.8	33.1	132.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +89.3%

UTA -22.7%

UTA -3.8%

UTA -14.3%

GSW +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	14.2	18.0	14.9	119.1	114.4	105.1
season	13.7	16.3		112.3	104.6
opponent	15.0	15.1		102.8	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	14.8	13.6	14.1	14.2
UTA	20.7	16.5	17.1	17.8	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	70	70	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.61	12	-9	21	13.6	16.2	-2.52	18.0	18.0	-0.03
Draymond Green	72	72	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.49	10	-7	17	13.8	15.9	-2.10	18.0	18.0	-0.03
Festus Ezeli	44	43	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.41	11	-8	19	13.9	14.4	-0.54	17.9	18.0	-0.09
Klay Thompson	67	66	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.52	4	-1	5	14.1	14.4	-0.30	17.9	18.3	-0.43
Brandon Rush	23	23	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	0	3	14.3	14.1	0.17	19.7	17.4	2.37
Ian Clark	13	13	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	1	1	14.2	14.2	0.06	13.2	18.8	-5.64
Shaun Livingston	34	35	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	2	-1	14.4	14.0	0.42	19.7	16.9	2.84
Andre Iguodala	49	51	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	5	-7	14.6	13.7	0.92	17.0	19.2	-2.21
James Michael McAdoo	6	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	3	-3	17.0	14.0	3.02	20.2	17.8	2.35
Marreese Speights	8	9	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.06	-7	10	-17	15.4	14.1	1.31	15.3	18.3	-2.94
Andrew Bogut	39	41	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.02	-10	13	-23	14.6	13.8	0.82	19.0	17.1	1.88
Leandro Barbosa	20	21	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.05	-9	12	-21	14.5	14.1	0.41	17.5	18.1	-0.65

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	37	36	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-8	13	16.0	19.4	-3.36	14.5	13.9	0.58
Trey Lyles	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-3	3	25.0	17.7	7.26	12.0	14.2	-2.23
Raul Neto	26	25	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	-2	1	20.8	16.8	3.98	15.1	13.8	1.25
Trey Burke	42	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-3	3	17.0	18.9	-1.92	14.0	14.3	-0.26
Rodney Hood	65	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.35	4	-7	11	18.1	17.7	0.36	14.4	13.6	0.79
Gordon Hayward	70	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.40	3	-6	9	18.0	17.7	0.29	14.5	13.1	1.37
Joe Ingles	21	22	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	7	-17	16.2	18.5	-2.33	12.6	14.7	-2.11
Rudy Gobert	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	2	-7	18.9	15.0	3.88	14.1	14.5	-0.39
Derrick Favors	63	63	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	1	-5	18.2	17.4	0.87	14.2	14.1	0.09
Alec Burks	55	54	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.35	-7	4	-11	17.4	18.9	-1.53	13.8	14.8	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.53,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.67,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.25,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,0	90.9%
TOR 104, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.19,0.34,0.25,0.43,0.58,0.41,0.46,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.45,0.42,0	90.8%
SEA 108, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.19,0.27,0.18,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.42,0	90.6%