NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	104		Excitement	10.6 [39]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +93.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	10.9 [120]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (LAC): -19.5%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.94	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.94	0.06	0.88	0.01	16	62%	1.13	3	-0.20	8	37%	-0.08
Lou Williams	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.12	-0.00	9	65%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sindarius Thornwell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Willie Reed	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	71%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
Sam Dekker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	12	52%	0.04	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	6	39%	-0.11	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Austin Rivers	-0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.16	0.02	-0.18	-0.00	11	62%	0.15	3	-0.31	4	75%	-0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.20	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2	-0.00	-0.18	0.01	13	47%	-0.16	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.36	0.36	0.08	0.27	-0.01	18	53%	0.36	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.05
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.15	0.03	11	79%	0.31	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.06
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	9	59%	0.12	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.06	0.00	12	50%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.14,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.09	0.01	19	56%	0.14	1	-0.14	7	100%	0.05
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Swanigan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	7	6%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.5	30.4	15.4	24.5	1.6	40.2	140.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +59.9%

POR -24.4%

LAC +36.9%

POR -25.2%

LAC +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	14.7	116.9	113.2	107.5
season	14.2	15.2		109.2	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.6		105.7	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.9	12.5	18.6	20.7	16.3
POR	17.1	14.1	15.7	16.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	69	71	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.77	6	-5	11	17.0	13.7	3.31	15.8	15.4	0.37
Lou Williams	36	38	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.68	6	-5	11	14.3	17.6	-3.34	15.6	15.8	-0.18
Danilo Gallinari	71	73	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.62	1	0	1	16.7	14.6	2.08	15.7	15.8	-0.12
Blake Griffin	74	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	-2	5	16.7	14.1	2.57	16.2	13.5	2.71
Patrick Beverley	61	63	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.53	-2	3	-5	16.8	15.2	1.59	16.2	14.7	1.42
Willie Reed	18	17	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	0	1	13.3	17.0	-3.75	16.4	15.6	0.76
Sam Dekker	8	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	3	-5	14.9	16.4	-1.53	13.3	15.9	-2.65
Sindarius Thornwell	19	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.20	3	-2	5	12.5	17.3	-4.76	14.5	16.1	-1.60
Wesley Johnson	27	30	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.24	-5	6	-11	14.5	17.0	-2.57	14.9	16.1	-1.25
Austin Rivers	62	62	-0.51	1.01	-1.51	-0.33	-6	7	-13	18.1	12.1	5.97	15.6	16.0	-0.39

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	42	40	0.40	-0.90	1.30	0.40	0	-1	1	15.9	15.6	0.31	15.5	16.9	-1.44
Pat Connaughton	21	20	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.30	-1	0	-1	15.8	15.7	0.10	14.4	16.8	-2.41
Shabazz Napier	19	16	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.26	-3	2	-5	15.4	15.8	-0.40	14.2	16.7	-2.54
Caleb Swanigan	9	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-1	1	13.7	16.0	-2.30	15.2	16.4	-1.21
Ed Davis	43	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	3	-7	16.2	15.4	0.81	15.6	16.8	-1.17
Damian Lillard	71	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.47	1	-2	3	16.0	14.8	1.20	16.9	14.0	2.93
CJ McCollum	73	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.55	3	-4	7	15.1	18.2	-3.03	16.6	14.7	1.93
Al-Farouq Aminu	59	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.70	7	-8	15	15.8	15.6	0.27	16.8	15.1	1.78
Maurice Harkless	67	66	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.77	2	-3	5	15.7	15.7	0.04	16.8	14.9	1.89
Jusuf Nurkic	51	51	-1.05	0.55	-1.61	-0.76	-10	9	-19	16.1	15.3	0.73	16.3	16.2	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.25,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, UTA 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.45,0.65,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.58,0	92.6%
ATL 77, BOS 70	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.28,0	91.6%
BOS 85, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.51,0.47,0.26,0.16,0.16,0.31,0	91.5%