NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	85		Excitement	9.6 [93]		MVP	Howard Eisley (UTA): +10.8%
Utah Jazz	84		Comeback	2.1 [455]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -32.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	23	55%	0.12	2	-0.13	7	86%	0.03
Jared Jeffries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Kwame Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	5	58%	-0.06	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.05
Damone Brown	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	2	40%	-0.05	3	-0.09	6	33%	-0.05
Larry Hughes	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.14	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	21	50%	0.01	3	-0.15	8	75%	-0.03
Etan Thomas	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28,-0.28	-0.08	-0.20	-0.00	6	37%	-0.13	2	-0.15	4	50%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.08	-0.03	8	50%	0.10	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	0.00	9	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	15	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ben Handlogten	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,-0.21	-0.21	-0.01	-0.19	0.01	10	59%	-0.07	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.04
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.31,-0.15,-0.3	-0.30	-0.08	-0.21	0.00	12	42%	-0.09	3	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.09	-0.23	0.00	8	29%	-0.10	2	-0.23	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	29.4	15.4	27.4	1.7	30.2	134.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +8.5%

WAS +22.6%

WAS +6.3%

WAS +7.2%

WAS +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	14.5	17.9	15.5	94.4	95.5	104.0
season	14.7	16.7		104.7	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.7	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.0	15.9	13.6	16.1	14.5
UTA	16.5	18.4	17.7	19.1	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	78	75	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.66	6	-5	11	13.8	19.1	-5.25	17.9	17.5	0.47
Gilbert Arenas	90	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	14.5	0.0	14.53	17.9	0.0	17.86
Etan Thomas	41	40	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	-1	3	16.3	13.1	3.23	18.4	17.4	1.07
Kwame Brown	60	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	1	-1	13.7	16.2	-2.50	17.7	18.2	-0.56
Larry Hughes	81	78	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.50	-8	9	-17	14.7	13.2	1.46	17.8	18.3	-0.49
Steve Blake	14	15	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	-5	11	14.5	14.5	-0.04	20.1	17.4	2.74
Brendan Haywood	41	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	-2	5	12.6	16.1	-3.49	17.3	18.3	-0.94
Michael Ruffin	8	9	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	-1	3	17.7	14.2	3.53	14.8	18.2	-3.44
Laron Profit	6	6	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	0	1	12.0	14.7	-2.71	20.3	17.7	2.65
Damone Brown	31	30	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.12	-8	9	-17	17.4	13.0	4.35	17.4	18.1	-0.70

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	26	27	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.11	4	-5	9	18.9	17.4	1.50	17.2	13.4	3.79
Kirk Snyder	25	23	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.18	0	-1	1	19.9	17.1	2.82	17.6	13.5	4.07
Andrei Kirilenko	6	6	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-2	3	16.3	18.0	-1.64	14.3	14.5	-0.21
Kris Humphries	19	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	6	-13	18.2	17.8	0.44	11.4	15.3	-3.93
Curtis Borchardt	21	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-1	1	19.0	17.5	1.43	15.9	14.1	1.73
Ben Handlogten	39	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	2	-5	17.6	18.0	-0.40	13.4	15.5	-2.05
Mehmet Okur	44	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-5	9	17.2	18.5	-1.36	14.6	14.5	0.04
Raja Bell	63	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.45	0	-1	1	18.1	17.2	0.98	15.6	12.1	3.41
Matt Harpring	76	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.54	-1	0	-1	17.9	17.5	0.42	14.9	12.2	2.73
Gordan Giricek	59	63	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.67	2	-3	5	16.9	19.7	-2.77	13.1	17.8	-4.63
Keith McLeod	62	63	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.58	-5	4	-9	17.4	18.9	-1.50	13.4	17.2	-3.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.45,0.65,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.25,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,0	92.6%
CLE 86, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.23,0.53,0	91.4%
SEA 108, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.19,0.27,0.18,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.42,0	91.0%