inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 89 Excitement9.6 [74] MVPEddie Jones (MIA): +38.4%
Miami Heat 91 Comeback4.2 [388] LVPGlenn Robinson (MIL): -33.2%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ervin Johnson0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.110.010.100.00560%0.131-0.0200%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.020.05-0.031154%0.141-0.05250%0.01
Darvin Ham0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1-0.020.12-0.00337%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Joel Przybilla0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Hart-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.001100%0.032-0.0800%0.00
Scott Williams-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.04-0.00944%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jerome Kersey-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.00430%-0.0700.00250%-0.02
Ray Allen-0.080,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.080.11-0.170.021570%0.042-0.1200%0.00
Rafer Alston-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.00824%-0.051-0.0310%-0.03
Michael Redd-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.13-0.06-0.001121%-0.171-0.02250%-0.03
Glenn Robinson-0.330,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,-0.2,-0.33-0.02-0.300.011854%-0.113-0.225100%0.05

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.4,0.380.380.120.26-0.001472%0.411-0.034100%0.03
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.12,0.30.300.050.280.021666%0.523-0.22683%0.02
Anthony Mason0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.03-0.00962%0.012-0.03683%-0.01
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00533%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Brian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.07-0.001250%-0.022-0.0700%0.00
A.C. Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.050.0030%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.00410%-0.1000.00250%-0.02
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.030.01527%-0.053-0.0910%-0.02
Anthony Carter0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.09-0.09-0.011136%-0.113-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.72.427.516.425.01.831.2126.2
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +44.3%
MIA +15.0%
MIL -17.7%
MIA +7.4%
MIA +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game16.115.215.596.798.9100.9
season14.916.3105.998.4
opponent16.115.896.9102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.717.314.916.616.1
MIA15.015.414.516.115.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Przybilla46460.06-0.560.61-0.095-71215.616.6-1.0215.215.2-0.02
Jerome Kersey2425-0.05-0.450.41-0.112-4615.016.4-1.4013.815.7-1.91
Michael Redd4139-0.12-0.380.270.03-53-816.415.80.5714.216.0-1.82
Jason Hart2020-0.15-0.350.19-0.07-31-416.416.00.4812.615.9-3.29
Lindsey Hunter3234-0.18-0.320.15-0.180-2216.715.71.0314.016.0-1.99
Darvin Ham3736-0.18-0.320.14-0.304-61016.116.1-0.0416.114.71.40
Scott Williams3131-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.04-86-1416.915.71.2515.415.20.19
Rafer Alston5856-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.382-4616.215.80.4016.613.13.52
Ervin Johnson4645-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.15-75-1216.615.61.0215.514.90.60
Glenn Robinson6163-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.43-1-1016.116.10.0215.913.82.05
Ray Allen6465-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.501-3415.317.9-2.6115.315.10.22

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Majerle38370.83-0.331.170.695-3815.615.00.6015.116.7-1.57
Anthony Carter78770.82-0.321.130.559-71614.916.8-1.8416.215.70.49
Alonzo Mourning60610.80-0.301.090.4412-102215.215.20.0616.814.72.06
Eddie Jones65660.400.100.310.3420214.816.4-1.6216.315.40.91
Anthony Mason76770.290.210.070.43-57-1215.712.73.0015.717.9-2.22
Bruce Bowen44430.100.40-0.310.0711014.515.9-1.4415.416.7-1.23
Ricky Davis1111-0.030.53-0.560.00-13-416.315.11.1917.016.01.05
A.C. Green1617-0.050.55-0.610.00-24-615.615.20.4017.315.81.49
Eddie House2222-0.120.62-0.74-0.06-24-614.915.3-0.4216.715.90.80
Brian Grant5049-0.531.03-1.56-0.26-911-2015.714.70.9515.716.5-0.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.39,0.37,0.23,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 106, MEM 1090.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.27,191.4%
DAL 106, NOP 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.46,0.45,0.29,0.16,0.42,191.0%
GSW 122, DEN 1230.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.29,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.77,0.64,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.87,0.69,0.4,0.25,0.29,0.15,0.26,190.1%