NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	106		Excitement	9.3 [107]		MVP	Monta Ellis (DAL): +46.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	109		Comeback	5.3 [185]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (DAL): -12.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.47	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.47	0.20	0.27	0.00	27	67%	0.49	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	2	83%	0.11	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.18,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	19	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	6	40%	-0.02	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Devin Harris	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,-0.12	0.09	-0.20	0.01	10	77%	0.15	2	-0.27	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.35	0.35	0.09	0.28	0.01	18	56%	0.36	1	-0.02	14	86%	0.14
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.17	-0.01	7	64%	0.22	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.02	-0.02	10	75%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.06	0.02	19	62%	0.28	3	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.01	8	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	10	54%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.05
Jimmer Fredette	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Wolters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.5	30.3	16.4	25.3	1.8	41.3	145.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +20.0%

NOP +38.5%

DAL -15.6%

NOP +7.2%

DAL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOP	NBA	DAL	NOP	NBA
this game	16.4	17.0	15.1	124.7	125.3	104.2
season	14.6	15.8		107.6	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.0		106.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.4	16.8	15.8	17.9	16.4
NOP	16.6	15.9	18.5	17.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	20	21	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.01	5	-8	13	15.0	16.9	-1.89	20.7	15.9	4.85
Devin Harris	26	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-4	5	15.4	16.9	-1.53	18.5	16.4	2.10
Dwight Powell	24	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.23	6	-9	15	17.0	16.2	0.83	19.2	16.0	3.17
Dirk Nowitzki	57	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-4	5	17.1	15.2	1.89	17.6	15.7	1.89
Al-Farouq Aminu	28	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-7	11	16.3	16.5	-0.24	16.0	17.5	-1.53
Richard Jefferson	32	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-2	1	15.3	17.1	-1.82	18.9	16.0	2.90
Rajon Rondo	60	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.40	1	-4	5	16.9	15.2	1.71	16.5	18.3	-1.82
Chandler Parsons	53	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	6	-15	16.5	16.3	0.27	15.9	18.9	-3.01
Tyson Chandler	61	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.21	-10	7	-17	16.2	17.0	-0.83	16.0	19.5	-3.46
Monta Ellis	64	65	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.33	-13	10	-23	16.9	15.2	1.67	15.8	20.8	-5.06

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	72	70	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.48	12	-9	21	16.2	20.9	-4.71	16.9	14.4	2.49
Tyreke Evans	77	74	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-4	11	16.7	19.4	-2.67	16.7	14.6	2.08
Dante Cunningham	40	38	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	1	1	16.7	17.3	-0.53	15.9	16.9	-0.90
Quincy Pondexter	53	52	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.41	-3	6	-9	16.7	17.6	-0.96	16.2	16.8	-0.61
Ryan Anderson	49	50	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	2	-1	17.3	16.7	0.58	17.1	15.5	1.68
Eric Gordon	59	60	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	-3	9	17.4	16.3	1.05	17.0	15.0	2.05
Nate Wolters	33	32	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	8	-13	17.6	16.7	0.87	15.4	17.1	-1.72
Omer Asik	44	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	3	-3	17.8	16.3	1.54	15.5	17.4	-1.90
Alexis Ajinca	8	8	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	10	-17	20.7	16.7	4.09	14.5	16.6	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.46,0.45,0.29,0.16,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.39,0.37,0.23,0.27,1	91.0%
PHI 87, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.67,0.38,0.39,0.15,0.58,1	90.8%
TOR 112, GSW 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.88,0.77,0.73,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.21,0.1,0.41,1	89.8%