NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	108		Excitement	7.7 [265]		MVP	Dell Curry (TOR): +20.8%
Orlando Magic	100		Comeback	8.2 [123]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -10.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.07	0.14	0.00	5	80%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.04	0.16	-0.01	8	62%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	8	78%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	7	43%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	17	61%	0.03	2	-0.07	17	76%	-0.03
Morris Peterson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Charles Oakley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	12	42%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	22	44%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	7	89%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	89%	0.10	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	12	59%	0.11	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	0.00	2	75%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.02	-0.04	21	43%	-0.00	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	20	45%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	31.2	16.4	22.4	2.4	33.3	130.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +21.7%

ORL -0.0%

TOR +12.5%

TOR +15.5%

TOR +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ORL	NBA	TOR	ORL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.5	117.4	109.9	100.9
season	15.8	14.6		103.7	101.6
opponent	15.8	15.4		100.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.5	16.4	17.0	13.7	15.6
ORL	15.8	16.4	14.3	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	38	34	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.39	13	-5	18	15.1	16.0	-0.88	16.9	15.3	1.60
Dell Curry	33	31	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.42	9	-1	10	15.4	15.7	-0.32	17.5	15.0	2.53
Antonio Davis	82	82	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-6	20	15.2	18.7	-3.48	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Vince Carter	86	84	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-4	16	15.3	19.2	-3.82	15.7	17.9	-2.14
Chris Childs	48	48	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	1	6	15.4	15.8	-0.47	16.4	15.3	1.18
Alvin Williams	53	53	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.11	6	2	4	15.6	15.6	0.01	15.1	17.0	-1.92
Charles Oakley	54	53	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	8	-8	16.4	14.5	1.92	15.4	16.6	-1.20
Eric Montross	5	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	12	-16	13.2	15.7	-2.54	16.2	15.9	0.31
Keon Clark	12	13	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.04	-8	16	-24	17.9	15.2	2.67	16.5	15.8	0.77
Morris Peterson	49	51	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.08	-9	17	-26	16.2	14.9	1.34	15.1	16.9	-1.78

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don Reid	24	24	0.47	-0.97	1.43	0.12	12	-20	32	15.3	16.1	-0.80	15.0	15.8	-0.87
Monty Williams	21	23	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-10	12	16.4	15.7	0.71	15.3	15.7	-0.39
Bo Outlaw	54	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-11	14	15.5	16.4	-0.84	16.6	14.1	2.50
John Amaechi	26	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-4	0	16.8	15.5	1.35	14.8	15.9	-1.12
Mike Miller	75	77	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-3	-2	15.5	17.9	-2.42	15.6	15.7	-0.16
Dee Brown	32	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-5	2	15.8	15.9	-0.05	14.5	16.2	-1.69
Andrew DeClercq	43	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	0	-8	15.3	16.4	-1.14	16.6	14.8	1.80
Michael Doleac	12	11	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	18.6	15.5	3.11	13.7	15.9	-2.12
Troy Hudson	74	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	1	-10	15.8	16.2	-0.44	15.9	14.3	1.62
Tracy McGrady	67	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	5	-18	15.7	16.3	-0.62	15.8	15.0	0.77
Pat Garrity	27	27	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	1	-10	17.3	15.3	2.07	14.4	16.1	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.48,0.53,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.09,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 87, SEA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.1,0.02,0	92.3%
DAL 103, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.52,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.05,0,0	92.0%
CLE 90, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.64,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.22,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.07,0.02,0,0	92.0%