NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Excitement	6.3 [565]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +15.9%
Detroit Pistons	80		Comeback	4.4 [364]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): -15.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.07	-0.03	25	54%	0.29	5	-0.17	11	55%	-0.03
Daniel Gibson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	70%	0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.11	0.01	16	38%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.05	0.02	18	55%	0.16	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Anderson Varejao	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.00	0.07	-0.09	11	50%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	7	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	12	57%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Arron Afflalo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	19	52%	0.18	5	-0.21	4	100%	0.04
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	11	41%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	9	27%	-0.11	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	3.4	32.3	19.8	25.0	3.8	28.4	142.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +55.4%

DET -1.3%

CLE +9.2%

DET -15.3%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	16.8	17.0	15.5	105.9	94.1	106.4
season	16.9	16.9		110.6	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.2		106.2	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	16.1	19.1	18.4	16.8
DET	16.5	18.1	16.9	16.8	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	72	74	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.20	20	-10	30	17.2	14.8	2.44	17.4	14.8	2.56
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	61	62	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.19	17	-7	24	17.1	16.1	0.99	16.5	18.4	-1.84
Daniel Gibson	32	32	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	2	6	18.0	16.1	1.87	16.8	17.2	-0.33
Anderson Varejao	42	40	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	2	6	17.0	16.7	0.28	16.8	17.3	-0.51
Wally Szczerbiak	37	36	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	5	0	15.5	17.8	-2.29	18.4	16.1	2.33
Ben Wallace	44	46	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	8	-6	16.4	17.3	-0.93	17.5	16.6	0.89
JJ Hickson	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	16.7	16.9	-0.17	17.9	16.9	0.97
LeBron James	70	69	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	18	-26	16.9	16.3	0.61	16.2	20.7	-4.48
Sasha Pavlovic	54	52	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.18	-2	12	-14	16.4	17.6	-1.27	17.1	16.9	0.18

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	53	54	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.01	8	-18	26	17.6	16.1	1.48	16.6	17.3	-0.72
Rasheed Wallace	73	73	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-14	18	16.8	18.5	-1.69	16.7	17.4	-0.68
Amir Johnson	39	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-6	2	16.2	17.7	-1.51	16.7	17.0	-0.26
Will Bynum	1	2	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-7	4	25.0	17.0	8.05	8.0	17.0	-9.05
Jason Maxiell	7	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-5	0	20.1	16.8	3.37	19.0	16.6	2.36
Allen Iverson	78	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-5	0	16.5	22.9	-6.33	17.4	11.9	5.48
Arron Afflalo	12	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-2	-6	19.1	16.7	2.37	15.4	17.1	-1.69
Tayshaun Prince	64	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	1	-12	16.7	18.1	-1.46	17.1	16.1	0.92
Richard Hamilton	47	47	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.38	-11	1	-12	17.1	17.0	0.09	16.7	17.0	-0.30
Antonio McDyess	51	50	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.33	-15	5	-20	17.6	16.2	1.35	16.8	16.9	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.64,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.22,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.08,0	92.1%
OKC 107, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.43,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.31,0.26,0.15,0,0,0	92.0%
TOR 108, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.48,0.53,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.09,0.05,0	92.0%