NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	92		Excitement	6.3 [528]		MVP	Dell Curry (TOR): +21.4%
Toronto Raptors	102		Comeback	2.0 [962]		LVP	Grant Long (VAN): -12.7%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Dickerson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	14	69%	0.14	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	10	71%	0.12	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	5	50%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	19	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Bryant Reeves	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.10	0.01	9	80%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	5	64%	0.08	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	13	71%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	8	37%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.05	-0.00	24	46%	0.05	5	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	14	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	11	43%	-0.04	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	25.5	17.5	23.3	1.7	29.0	123.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +14.0%

TOR +0.6%

TOR +22.8%

TOR +13.2%

VAN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	TOR	NBA	VAN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.9	15.7	15.5	97.9	108.5	100.9
season	15.6	15.8		97.4	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.1		101.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.0	13.4	15.0	17.8	14.9
TOR	14.3	16.6	14.4	18.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.32	8	-18	26	15.1	14.8	0.36	16.6	15.2	1.35
Stromile Swift	64	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-16	22	14.7	15.3	-0.52	16.7	13.6	3.12
Tony Massenburg	30	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-3	-4	15.7	14.5	1.15	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Mike Bibby	83	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	0	-10	14.7	16.3	-1.54	15.5	17.1	-1.56
Bryant Reeves	59	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-4	-2	14.4	15.7	-1.27	15.8	15.6	0.15
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	87	88	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-1	-8	15.0	13.6	1.45	15.6	17.2	-1.54
Grant Long	30	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.11	-16	6	-22	15.3	14.7	0.52	13.6	16.7	-3.12
Michael Dickerson	82	82	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.30	-16	6	-22	14.9	14.7	0.19	15.9	14.3	1.59

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	84	84	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-7	24	15.6	17.0	-1.43	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Vince Carter	88	89	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-2	14	15.7	16.7	-1.01	14.8	17.4	-2.62
Dell Curry	32	32	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	1	8	18.1	14.5	3.55	16.5	14.1	2.45
Alvin Williams	88	87	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	2	6	15.5	19.0	-3.50	15.1	12.3	2.84
Keon Clark	33	33	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	10	-10	16.1	15.5	0.61	15.4	14.6	0.78
Charles Oakley	54	55	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	2	6	15.7	15.7	0.04	14.9	15.0	-0.10
Morris Peterson	60	61	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	6	-2	14.8	17.3	-2.41	14.1	16.4	-2.23
Tracy Murray	14	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	13	-16	15.9	15.7	0.24	14.2	15.0	-0.88
Jerome Williams	17	16	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	15	-20	15.6	15.7	-0.09	14.5	15.0	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.58,0.58,0.79,0.91,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, IND 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.6%
SAS 106, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.5%
ATL 108, NJN 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.94,0.98,1	92.3%