NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	108		Excitement	7.3 [365]		MVP	Devin Harris (NJN): +38.0%
New Jersey Nets	115		Comeback	2.4 [319]		LVP	Maurice Evans (ATL): -13.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.22	0.20	0.05	16	84%	0.44	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Ronald Murray	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.06	0.07	-0.01	13	66%	0.21	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Acie Law	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.02	5	82%	0.19	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Solomon Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.06	-0.00	11	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	-0.10	0.03	17	52%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Al Horford	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	9	30%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Maurice Evans	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.38	0.38	0.16	0.22	-0.01	17	65%	0.41	1	-0.03	12	100%	0.09
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.07	0.00	7	88%	0.22	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.04	0.04	17	66%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.02	5	100%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.01	20	46%	0.05	2	-0.03	16	75%	-0.03
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.7	28.6	15.5	29.3	2.4	37.5	142.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +9.1%

NJN +13.8%

NJN +18.7%

NJN +8.4%

ATL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.5	117.4	125.0	106.4
season	15.8	16.0		106.7	106.5
opponent	15.5	16.1		108.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.3	15.0	16.3	15.7	16.3
NJN	15.1	17.0	15.7	12.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Law	22	21	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.04	6	-13	19	14.0	17.0	-3.06	15.3	14.9	0.34
Solomon Jones	36	36	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-10	13	15.2	17.0	-1.74	15.5	14.7	0.74
Mario West	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	7.0	16.4	-9.38	0.0	15.0	-15.02
Mike Bibby	48	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-6	5	16.4	16.1	0.32	15.0	15.1	-0.09
Zaza Pachulia	21	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	4	-15	19.2	15.4	3.83	17.0	14.4	2.60
Maurice Evans	39	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	0	-7	16.6	16.1	0.53	14.6	15.3	-0.62
Ronald Murray	74	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.34	1	-8	9	15.4	19.8	-4.41	14.7	16.2	-1.50
Joe Johnson	72	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	1	-9	16.9	14.1	2.79	14.8	15.9	-1.06
Marvin Williams	79	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	1	-9	16.1	17.4	-1.28	15.1	14.7	0.33
Al Horford	68	66	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.31	-10	3	-13	17.0	14.1	2.92	14.8	15.6	-0.83

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	76	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-5	17	15.0	15.3	-0.35	16.7	14.6	2.08
Ryan Anderson	52	54	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	0	7	13.9	16.5	-2.66	15.8	16.9	-1.09
Keyon Dooling	52	53	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.29	4	3	1	14.0	16.3	-2.35	14.8	18.3	-3.47
Vince Carter	71	72	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	2	3	15.1	14.7	0.40	16.2	16.4	-0.21
Brook Lopez	70	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	5	-3	15.0	15.0	-0.03	15.3	18.9	-3.57
Sean Williams	22	25	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.10	5	2	3	15.0	15.0	0.03	18.9	15.3	3.57
Bobby Simmons	39	38	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	1	5	16.4	14.0	2.37	18.2	14.9	3.28
Jarvis Hayes	43	42	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	14	-21	15.1	14.9	0.18	15.5	17.0	-1.53
Yi Jianlian	35	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	6	-5	16.6	14.1	2.50	17.4	15.6	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 87, CLE 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.95,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	92.8%
CHI 102, UTA 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.72,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.7,0.85,0.94,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	92.8%
NOK 103, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.98,1	92.8%