inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 95 Excitement7.1 [381] MVPBilly Owens (DET): +7.5%
Golden State Warriors 103 Comeback1.7 [316] LVPJerry Stackhouse (DET): -23.3%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Billy Owens0.080,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.07-0.00-0.011070%0.091-0.0100%0.00
Corliss Williamson0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,00.06-0.050.012060%0.072-0.07367%-0.00
Jud Buechler-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Kornel David-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
John Wallace-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.01420%-0.061-0.032100%0.01
Mateen Cleaves-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12-0.05-0.050.021144%-0.091-0.02580%-0.01
Mikki Moore-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.10-0.05-0.00537%-0.102-0.05633%-0.08
Joe Smith-0.160,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.10-0.08-0.01817%-0.1600.00250%-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse-0.230,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.14,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23-0.16-0.09-0.022643%-0.134-0.101377%-0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corie Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.070.07-0.010.07-0.011055%0.112-0.052100%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.00-0.04950%0.0400.00475%-0.00
Adam Keefe0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Vonteego Cummings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.02933%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.002653%0.033-0.081283%0.03
Chris Porter0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.011645%-0.032-0.05850%-0.04
Mookie Blaylock0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.030.011246%-0.032-0.064100%0.03
Adonal Foyle0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.001332%-0.091-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game341.91.632.215.725.31.640.3458.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +31.5%
GSW +0.5%
GSW +21.8%
DET -2.6%
DET -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETGSWNBADETGSWNBA
this game12.315.515.592.299.0100.9
season14.315.097.995.3
opponent14.915.4104.899.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.413.410.112.312.3
GSW14.312.817.218.215.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chucky Atkins5051-0.00-0.500.49-0.124-121612.711.90.8014.916.1-1.14
Corliss Williamson6970-0.10-0.400.29-0.193-111412.112.7-0.6316.114.31.79
Jud Buechler2322-0.15-0.350.21-0.09-2-6412.012.4-0.4616.215.30.86
Joe Smith6264-0.17-0.330.16-0.294-121612.512.00.4816.414.02.40
Jerry Stackhouse9392-0.21-0.290.09-0.262-101212.213.8-1.6515.714.21.51
Mikki Moore4242-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.04-80-811.812.7-0.8515.015.8-0.84
Kornel David2524-0.31-0.19-0.120.01-113-1412.312.30.0113.716.0-2.38
John Wallace2527-0.33-0.17-0.150.06-135-1812.612.20.3314.016.0-2.03
Billy Owens7375-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.26-7-1-612.911.01.9015.216.4-1.22
Mateen Cleaves5353-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.15-124-1611.912.7-0.8016.114.91.14

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mookie Blaylock86850.69-0.190.880.1319-113014.918.2-3.2913.18.84.28
Antawn Jamison97940.65-0.150.800.1218-102814.923.4-8.5012.87.75.09
Corie Blount59600.450.050.400.199-11015.815.10.6912.312.3-0.07
Erick Dampier50520.340.160.190.0510-21215.015.9-0.8911.912.7-0.86
Adonal Foyle77720.310.190.130.2044015.515.6-0.1312.412.10.31
Chris Porter77770.250.250.010.1735-214.917.3-2.4312.212.7-0.51
Vonteego Cummings45440.060.44-0.390.23-614-2017.713.83.8211.113.2-2.13
Adam Keefe2931-0.260.76-1.020.24-1725-4217.714.73.0411.512.7-1.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.84,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 95, MIA 1040.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.99,1,194.6%
UTA 93, SAS 1020.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,194.2%
MIL 87, UTA 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.73,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.99,1,193.8%