NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	95		Excitement	7.1 [381]		MVP	Billy Owens (DET): +7.5%
Golden State Warriors	103		Comeback	1.7 [316]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -23.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Billy Owens	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	70%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.05	0.01	20	60%	0.07	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mateen Cleaves	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	11	44%	-0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	5	37%	-0.10	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.08
Joe Smith	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	8	17%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.14,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.09	-0.02	26	43%	-0.13	4	-0.10	13	77%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	10	55%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	26	53%	0.03	3	-0.08	12	83%	0.03
Chris Porter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	16	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.04
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	46%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	13	32%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	341.9	1.6	32.2	15.7	25.3	1.6	40.3	458.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +31.5%

GSW +0.5%

GSW +21.8%

DET -2.6%

DET -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	GSW	NBA	DET	GSW	NBA
this game	12.3	15.5	15.5	92.2	99.0	100.9
season	14.3	15.0		97.9	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.4		104.8	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.4	13.4	10.1	12.3	12.3
GSW	14.3	12.8	17.2	18.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	50	51	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-12	16	12.7	11.9	0.80	14.9	16.1	-1.14
Corliss Williamson	69	70	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-11	14	12.1	12.7	-0.63	16.1	14.3	1.79
Jud Buechler	23	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-6	4	12.0	12.4	-0.46	16.2	15.3	0.86
Joe Smith	62	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-12	16	12.5	12.0	0.48	16.4	14.0	2.40
Jerry Stackhouse	93	92	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.26	2	-10	12	12.2	13.8	-1.65	15.7	14.2	1.51
Mikki Moore	42	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	0	-8	11.8	12.7	-0.85	15.0	15.8	-0.84
Kornel David	25	24	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	3	-14	12.3	12.3	0.01	13.7	16.0	-2.38
John Wallace	25	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.06	-13	5	-18	12.6	12.2	0.33	14.0	16.0	-2.03
Billy Owens	73	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	12.9	11.0	1.90	15.2	16.4	-1.22
Mateen Cleaves	53	53	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.15	-12	4	-16	11.9	12.7	-0.80	16.1	14.9	1.14

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	86	85	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.13	19	-11	30	14.9	18.2	-3.29	13.1	8.8	4.28
Antawn Jamison	97	94	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-10	28	14.9	23.4	-8.50	12.8	7.7	5.09
Corie Blount	59	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	-1	10	15.8	15.1	0.69	12.3	12.3	-0.07
Erick Dampier	50	52	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	-2	12	15.0	15.9	-0.89	11.9	12.7	-0.86
Adonal Foyle	77	72	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	4	0	15.5	15.6	-0.13	12.4	12.1	0.31
Chris Porter	77	77	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	5	-2	14.9	17.3	-2.43	12.2	12.7	-0.51
Vonteego Cummings	45	44	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	14	-20	17.7	13.8	3.82	11.1	13.2	-2.13
Adam Keefe	29	31	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.24	-17	25	-42	17.7	14.7	3.04	11.5	12.7	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.84,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.99,1,1	94.6%
UTA 93, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
MIL 87, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.73,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.8%