NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	106		Excitement	8.1 [191]		MVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): +23.8%
Houston Rockets	108		Comeback	8.6 [229]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -8.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.2	0.01	0.19	0.00	11	52%	0.20	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Stephon Marbury	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.08	0.12	-0.04	-0.00	26	62%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.02,0.02	0.12	-0.08	0.02	15	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	61%	0.24	3	-0.23	5	60%	0.03
Stephen Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sherman Douglas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,0.02,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.02	0.22	0.01	19	57%	0.30	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.09
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.09	-0.01	18	71%	0.29	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	8	71%	0.13	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	9	39%	0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.5	26.4	15.8	26.2	1.8	34.6	129.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +19.4%

HOU +26.9%

NJN -0.0%

HOU +1.2%

HOU +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	HOU	NBA	NJN	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	16.5	15.5	116.5	120.0	100.9
season	15.5	16.3		97.8	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.1		102.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.2	17.3	14.5	14.6	15.4
HOU	17.5	16.2	14.9	17.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sherman Douglas	34	34	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.21	-3	1	-4	16.3	14.8	1.55	16.6	16.4	0.27
Evan Eschmeyer	49	49	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.07	6	-8	14	15.3	15.5	-0.19	16.5	16.5	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	13	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-2	2	15.7	15.3	0.40	15.7	16.6	-0.94
Stephon Marbury	88	87	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.51	5	-7	12	15.2	20.3	-5.15	16.5	15.0	1.53
Keith Van Horn	86	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-3	4	15.2	18.6	-3.44	16.5	15.8	0.72
Johnny Newman	78	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.42	-2	0	-2	15.3	15.7	-0.40	16.6	15.7	0.94
Aaron Williams	47	46	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.36	-11	9	-20	15.8	14.9	0.90	16.4	16.5	-0.13
Lucious Harris	60	59	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.58	-6	4	-10	15.0	15.9	-0.89	16.3	16.8	-0.50

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	57	57	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.40	17	-15	32	15.5	18.2	-2.64	15.7	14.7	0.98
Kelvin Cato	48	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	2	-2	15.9	17.2	-1.34	15.0	15.8	-0.81
Cuttino Mobley	85	86	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	3	-4	16.7	13.2	3.47	15.3	16.4	-1.11
Maurice Taylor	80	80	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.49	-4	6	-10	16.3	17.5	-1.15	14.9	18.8	-3.94
Shandon Anderson	72	72	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.48	-9	11	-20	16.8	15.1	1.71	14.8	17.5	-2.68
Kenny Thomas	39	39	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	-3	8	16.8	16.3	0.51	15.8	15.0	0.73
Dan Langhi	10	11	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	1	0	14.8	16.7	-1.89	16.2	15.2	0.94
Carlos Rogers	13	14	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	-1	4	18.7	16.1	2.59	18.2	14.8	3.38
Steve Francis	46	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	4	-6	17.2	15.8	1.38	15.7	15.0	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.46,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 82, PHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.58,1	90.2%
DET 88, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.75,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.47,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.74,1	89.4%
DET 89, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.33,0.25,0.46,0.32,0.42,1	89.3%